VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%VCU

70.2%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL161.8

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -236

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 78

Projected Total161.8

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 84

Team Comparison

VCUMetricSouth Florida

65.7MMH Power Index68.8

116.4Offensive Efficiency117.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency101.6

13.1Net Efficiency15.7

5.4Strength of Schedule1.8

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

69.5Tempo74.5

53.7%Effective FG%51.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate41.8%

9.1Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–65.7), offensive efficiency (117.3–116.4), defensive efficiency (101.6–103.3), net efficiency (15.7–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–1.8), shooting efficiency (53.7–51.0), free throw rate (42.9–41.8).

Final

VCU

70—65

South Florida

VCU by 5 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATSouth Florida

24-55FG25-61

44.0%FG%41.0%

10-263PT4-20

38.0%3PT%20.0%

12-14FT11-15

86.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists14

10Turnovers9

5Steals5

5Blocks—

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zeb Jackson	Guard	30	5-9	4-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	14
Sean Bairstow	Guard	35	4-10	1-2	4-4	6	4	1	0	13
Christian Fermin	F	21	5-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	10
Tobi Lawal	F	19	2-3	0-0	6-8	5	0	1	1	10
Kuany Kuany	Guard	14	2-5	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Max Shulga	Guard	24	1-6	1-3	2-2	3	4	0	1	5
Michael Belle	F	17	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
Joe Bamisile	Guard	25	2-10	0-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Alphonzo Billups III	G	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jason Nelson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Chris Youngblood	Guard	37	10-16	1-5	7-7	6	2	0	28
Kasean Pryor	F	28	6-12	1-3	1-1	10	3	1	14
Jayden Reid	G	24	3-7	2-4	0-0	0	1	1	8
Selton Miguel	Guard	21	2-12	0-4	0-1	2	2	1	4
Jose Placer	Guard	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	4
Brandon Stroud	Guard	28	1-3	0-1	1-2	9	2	1	3
Kobe Knox	G	22	0-5	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	2
Corey Walker Jr.	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	2
Sam Hines Jr.	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

113.1Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency113.1

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

52.7%Effective FG%44.3%

56.8%True Shooting %47.7%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

25.5%Free Throw Rate24.6%

47.3%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

VCU won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.