Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.9%Northern Colorado

21.1%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL167.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -374

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 88

Projected Total167.4

Projected ScoreCleveland State 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricCleveland State

53.7MMH Power Index37.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency120.2

8.4Net Efficiency-8.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.7

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

71.1Tempo71.5

56.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.0%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate38.7%

6.0Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–37.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.6–120.2), net efficiency (8.4–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.3), offensive rebounding (28.6–27.9), free throw rate (38.7–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

49—51

Cleveland State

Cleveland State by 2 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATCleveland State

19-58FG21-62

33.0%FG%34.0%

2-233PT4-15

9.0%3PT%27.0%

9-12FT5-13

75.0%FT%38.0%

45Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists10

12Turnovers9

7Steals10

1Blocks3

10Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	36	6-11	0-2	2-4	8	3	2	0	14
Jaron Rillie	Guard	37	4-15	0-5	2-2	5	0	2	0	10
Brock Wisne	F	31	3-6	1-2	3-4	5	1	0	0	10
Marcell McCreary	G	19	4-7	1-2	0-0	5	0	2	0	9
Connor Creech	Guard	23	1-3	0-2	2-2	7	1	0	0	4
Zach Bloch	G	23	1-6	0-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Mekhi Cameron	G	19	0-6	0-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Juju Ramirez	Forward	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Theo Hughes	Center	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristan Enaruna	Forward	33	8-16	2-3	4-5	10	2	0	1	22
Tae Williams	Guard	24	5-14	0-1	0-2	3	1	2	0	10
Tevin Smith	Guard	23	3-6	0-0	0-2	2	1	2	0	6
Jayson Woodrich	Guard	22	2-6	2-5	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
Chase Robinson	Guard	21	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Drew Lowder	Guard	34	1-10	0-4	0-0	5	3	0	0	2
Dylan Arnett	F	25	0-1	0-0	1-4	8	0	2	2	1
Jalin Rice	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Ramar Pryor	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
T.J. Moss	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

71.5Offensive Efficiency74.5

74.5Defensive Efficiency71.5

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

34.5%Effective FG%37.1%

38.5%True Shooting %37.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate13.0%

20.7%Free Throw Rate21.0%

39.7%3-Point Rate24.2%

0.58Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Cleveland State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.