Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Fairfield

45.7%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -119

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 74

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 73

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricLittle Rock

50.1MMH Power Index44

109.6Offensive Efficiency103.0

105.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

4.2Net Efficiency-5.2

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.5

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.8Tempo68.5

49.1%Effective FG%50.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate18.7%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

28.4%Free Throw Rate28.6%

2.8Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–44.0), offensive efficiency (109.6–103.0), defensive efficiency (105.4–108.2), net efficiency (4.2–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.4), shooting efficiency (50.3–49.1), free throw rate (28.6–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

82—75

Little Rock

Fairfield by 7 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATLittle Rock

25-57FG30-60

44.0%FG%50.0%

13-343PT10-22

38.0%3PT%45.0%

19-24FT5-7

79.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists17

10Turnovers16

10Steals5

2Blocks2

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Curtis	G	33	6-11	5-10	2-3	3	1	0	0	19
Caleb Fields	Guard	40	5-15	3-10	2-5	4	6	0	0	15
Jasper Floyd	G	40	4-12	1-5	5-6	8	6	6	0	14
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	32	3-5	3-5	4-4	4	4	2	1	13
Peyton Smith	F	12	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Birima Seck	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Jack Brown	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	34	8-16	4-9	0-0	3	3	1	0	20
KK Robinson	G	35	7-14	3-8	0-0	7	8	2	0	17
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	31	5-15	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	1	10
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	27	4-6	0-0	0-1	3	2	0	0	8
Creed Williamson	Forward	20	0-1	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	0	3
Cougar Downing	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bradley Douglas	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

114.0Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency114.0

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

55.3%Effective FG%58.3%

59.9%True Shooting %59.2%

14.0%Turnover Rate22.1%

42.1%Free Throw Rate11.7%

59.6%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.