Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.1%Fairfield

25.9%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -286

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 76

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreChicago State 69

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricChicago State

50.1MMH Power Index36.1

109.6Offensive Efficiency99.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency114.9

4.2Net Efficiency-15.5

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.5

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

67.8Tempo66.2

49.1%Effective FG%45.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

28.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.8Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–36.1), offensive efficiency (109.6–99.4), defensive efficiency (105.4–114.9), net efficiency (4.2–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.4), free throw rate (30.7–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

77—74

Chicago State

Fairfield by 3 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATChicago State

30-52FG29-62

58.0%FG%47.0%

8-223PT3-16

36.0%3PT%19.0%

9-14FT13-17

64.0%FT%76.0%

25Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists8

9Turnovers9

5Steals7

1Blocks2

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Caleb Fields	Guard	40	13-20	6-13	0-1	5	1	1	32
Matt Curtis	G	32	5-8	2-4	3-4	2	1	1	15
Jasper Floyd	G	40	6-14	0-3	1-3	6	7	2	13
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	30	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	4
Birima Seck	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	3
Peyton Smith	F	14	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2
Anthony Davis Jr.	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0
Jack Brown	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	37	10-17	1-3	4-5	5	2	1	0	25
A.J. Neal Jr.	G	32	7-17	1-7	3-4	3	5	0	0	18
Noble Crawford	Forward	31	6-11	0-2	2-2	4	0	3	0	14
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	38	4-12	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	9
Deshawn Jean-Charles	G	19	1-2	0-0	4-6	4	0	1	0	6
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	26	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	2	2	2
Tristan Arneaud	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Greg Spate	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

120.5Offensive Efficiency115.8

115.8Defensive Efficiency120.5

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

65.4%Effective FG%49.2%

65.6%True Shooting %52.8%

14.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

26.9%Free Throw Rate27.4%

42.3%3-Point Rate25.8%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.