Purdue Fort Wayne

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Purdue Fort Wayne

65.5%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -190

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue Fort Wayne 74

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreTarleton State 80

Team Comparison

Purdue Fort WayneMetricTarleton State

43.4MMH Power Index44.6

111.2Offensive Efficiency103.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency101.6

1.4Net Efficiency1.6

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.2Tempo72.2

54.5%Effective FG%49.0%

14.2%Turnover Rate19.9%

23.9%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.5%Free Throw Rate42.8%

1.0Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–43.4), defensive efficiency (101.6–109.8), net efficiency (1.6–1.4), strength of schedule (-2.3–-4.7).

Purdue Fort Wayne COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.2–103.2), shooting efficiency (54.5–49.0), ball security (14.2–19.9).

Final

Purdue Fort Wayne

73—72

Tarleton State

Purdue Fort Wayne by 1 • 75.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Purdue Fort WayneTEAM STATTarleton State

30-63FG24-61

48.0%FG%39.0%

7-213PT7-23

33.0%3PT%30.0%

6-9FT17-23

67.0%FT%74.0%

40Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists13

15Turnovers13

10Steals10

2Blocks2

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Purdue Fort Wayne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rasheed Bello	Guard	32	9-13	1-2	2-3	0	3	3	0	21
Anthony Roberts	Guard	33	5-14	3-6	0-0	9	2	1	0	13
Eric Mulder	F	33	5-8	0-1	0-0	15	0	3	1	10
Jalen Jackson	G	31	4-11	0-2	2-2	4	4	1	1	10
Quinton Morton-Robertson	Guard	22	3-7	2-4	2-2	3	2	0	0	10
Johnathan DeJurnett	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Maximus Nelson	F	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Corey Hadnot II	G	21	1-3	0-1	0-2	3	2	1	0	2
Destin Whitaker	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Moussa	Guard	26	5-9	2-3	4-4	3	4	1	1	16
Devon Barnes	G	35	5-12	1-5	3-4	3	3	2	0	14
Jakorie Smith	Forward	33	3-15	2-7	5-6	7	2	3	0	13
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	31	4-10	0-0	2-3	6	1	2	0	10
Lue Williams	Guard	26	3-6	1-4	2-3	5	1	1	0	9
Traivar Jackson	F	16	3-5	0-1	1-1	5	0	0	1	7
Izzy Miles	G	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Nasan Ayala	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.1Possessions75.1

97.2Offensive Efficiency95.9

95.9Defensive Efficiency97.2

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

53.2%Effective FG%45.1%

54.3%True Shooting %50.1%

20.2%Turnover Rate17.1%

14.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Purdue Fort Wayne won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 75.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.