Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.2%Cincinnati

19.8%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.0

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -405

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 76

Projected Total145.0

Projected ScoreIndiana State 69

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricIndiana State

61.5MMH Power Index44.4

105.3Offensive Efficiency104.7

97.3Defensive Efficiency106.0

8.0Net Efficiency-1.3

5.1Strength of Schedule0.1

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

69.4Tempo70.3

50.6%Effective FG%53.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.5%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate28.8%

5.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–44.4), offensive efficiency (105.3–104.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–106.0), net efficiency (8.0–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–50.6).

Final

Cincinnati

81—85

Indiana State

Indiana State by 4 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATIndiana State

30-60FG26-58

50.0%FG%45.0%

10-223PT13-30

45.0%3PT%43.0%

11-17FT20-27

65.0%FT%74.0%

36Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists18

13Turnovers8

4Steals7

4Blocks1

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Simas Lukosius	Guard	36	8-17	6-14	4-6	4	0	2	1	26
Jizzle James	G	39	10-23	0-4	1-1	4	5	2	0	21
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	34	5-11	0-0	2-2	12	3	0	0	12
John Newman III	Forward	34	3-3	3-3	0-0	5	0	0	1	9
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	28	2-3	0-0	4-8	4	1	0	1	8
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	5
Josh Reed	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ody Oguama	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	38	7-15	4-8	4-6	5	6	2	0	22
Ryan Conwell	G	38	6-14	3-7	3-4	6	4	1	0	18
Jayson Kent	Forward	38	5-5	2-2	4-4	7	1	1	0	16
Isaiah Swope	Guard	34	3-11	2-6	4-5	6	1	0	0	12
Julian Larry	Guard	34	3-8	0-2	1-4	1	3	3	1	7
Xavier Bledson	Guard	11	1-4	1-4	2-2	4	3	0	0	5
Derek Vorst	C	2	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Jake Wolfe	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

114.2Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency114.2

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

58.3%Effective FG%56.0%

59.5%True Shooting %60.0%

18.0%Turnover Rate11.5%

28.3%Free Throw Rate46.6%

36.7%3-Point Rate51.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.