High Point

31-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.9%High Point

32.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHigh Point -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL165.0

MODEL MONEYLINEHigh Point -212

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHigh Point 85

Projected Total165.0

Projected ScoreArkansas State 80

Team Comparison

High PointMetricArkansas State

69MMH Power Index57.7

123.8Offensive Efficiency113.1

98.3Defensive Efficiency105.3

25.5Net Efficiency7.8

-5.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

72.4Tempo73.3

56.6%Effective FG%52.7%

12.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

42.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

18.5Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

High Point HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHigh Point holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.0–57.7), offensive efficiency (123.8–113.1), defensive efficiency (98.3–105.3), net efficiency (25.5–7.8).

Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-5.8), offensive rebounding (38.1–33.2).

Final

High Point

81—80

Arkansas State

High Point by 1 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

High PointTEAM STATArkansas State

31-64FG30-70

48.0%FG%43.0%

4-153PT9-25

27.0%3PT%36.0%

15-21FT11-14

71.0%FT%79.0%

41Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists16

11Turnovers7

3Steals6

6Blocks4

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

High Point

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kezza Giffa	G	35	9-16	1-4	3-4	5	4	0	0	22
Kimani Hamilton	F	37	6-9	0-0	5-6	8	2	1	0	17
Duke Miles	G	29	5-15	1-3	5-7	4	3	1	0	16
Juslin Bodo Bodo	C	33	6-8	0-0	2-4	16	0	0	6	14
Trae Benham	Guard	31	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Pavlo Dziuba	Forward	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Abdoulaye Thiam	Guard	23	1-8	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Titas Sargiunas	F	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Izaiyah Nelson	F	32	11-17	2-3	1-2	15	0	2	1	25
Taryn Todd	Guard	36	10-19	3-7	0-0	4	2	0	1	23
Freddy Hicks	G	35	4-15	1-3	7-8	6	4	0	2	16
Caleb Fields	Guard	39	4-10	2-4	3-4	3	7	0	0	13
Derrian Ford	G	36	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	3	2	0	3
Julian Lual	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Avery Felts	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

115.1Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency115.1

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

51.6%Effective FG%49.3%

54.7%True Shooting %52.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate10.1%

32.8%Free Throw Rate20.0%

23.4%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.82Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

High Point won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.