Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Utah

63.8%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -176

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah 74

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreIndiana State 79

Team Comparison

UtahMetricIndiana State

43.9MMH Power Index44.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency104.7

115.8Defensive Efficiency106.0

-7.0Net Efficiency-1.3

5.1Strength of Schedule0.1

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

68.3Tempo70.3

52.3%Effective FG%53.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate19.5%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.2%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-4.8Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–43.9), defensive efficiency (106.0–115.8), net efficiency (-1.3–-7.0), recent form (-5.2–-16.3).

Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–104.7), strength of schedule (5.1–0.1), ball security (16.7–19.5).

Final

Utah

90—100

Indiana State

Indiana State by 10 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UtahTEAM STATIndiana State

34-65FG37-65

52.0%FG%57.0%

17-293PT12-34

59.0%3PT%35.0%

5-10FT14-20

50.0%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds7

20Assists22

9Turnovers7

3Steals5

—Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Deivon Smith	Guard	32	10-16	6-6	2-4	7	6	1	28
Branden Carlson	Center	33	7-13	2-4	1-2	5	1	0	17
Cole Bajema	Guard	34	5-8	2-4	2-2	2	2	0	14
Ben Carlson	Forward	22	4-5	3-4	0-2	4	2	0	11
Hunter Erickson	G	21	4-9	2-5	0-0	2	5	1	10
Gabe Madsen	Guard	38	3-9	2-6	0-0	2	1	1	8
Keba Keita	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Lawson Lovering	Center	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	38	9-16	4-11	5-6	6	4	1	1	27
Robbie Avila	C	35	11-14	3-5	1-3	10	3	0	1	26
Julian Larry	Guard	38	4-9	1-4	6-8	0	8	2	0	15
Isaiah Swope	Guard	32	6-14	2-9	1-2	6	2	2	0	15
Jayson Kent	Forward	29	4-7	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	2	9
Xavier Bledson	Guard	18	3-5	1-2	1-1	4	4	0	0	8
Jake Wolfe	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Derek Vorst	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

121.3Offensive Efficiency134.8

134.8Defensive Efficiency121.3

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

65.4%Effective FG%66.2%

64.5%True Shooting %67.1%

12.2%Turnover Rate9.4%

15.4%Free Throw Rate30.8%

44.6%3-Point Rate52.3%

2.22Assist / Turnover3.14

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.