Charleston

21-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Charleston

64.5%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -182

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCharleston 71

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 76

Team Comparison

CharlestonMetricSouthern Illinois

53.8MMH Power Index54.6

109.2Offensive Efficiency103.4

106.2Defensive Efficiency98.5

3.0Net Efficiency4.9

1.9Strength of Schedule1.6

3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

69.1Tempo70.6

50.6%Effective FG%49.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

42.1%Free Throw Rate32.3%

2.0Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–53.8), defensive efficiency (98.5–106.2), net efficiency (4.9–3.0), recent form (7.7–3.9).

Charleston COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–103.4), strength of schedule (1.9–1.6), shooting efficiency (50.6–49.5).

Final

Charleston

90—80

Southern Illinois

Charleston by 10 • 78.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CharlestonTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

31-55FG25-62

56.0%FG%40.0%

9-203PT5-21

45.0%3PT%24.0%

19-30FT25-33

63.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists12

17Turnovers9

3Steals11

4Blocks1

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Charleston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ante Brzovic	Forward	36	11-16	1-2	4-8	9	4	1	2	27
CJ Fulton	Guard	34	6-12	3-6	2-2	2	7	0	0	17
Deywilk Tavarez	G	28	5-7	3-3	4-4	3	1	0	0	17
Jaxon Prunty	G	26	3-5	1-3	3-4	2	0	0	0	10
Lazar Djokovic	F	20	2-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	1	6
Elijah Jones	F	21	2-3	0-0	1-4	8	2	1	1	5
AJ Smith	G	13	1-4	0-1	3-4	2	1	0	0	5
Justas Stonkus	Guard	20	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Djordje Curcic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Elliott	G	32	9-14	3-7	2-2	1	2	3	0	23
Ali Dibba	G	32	5-14	1-3	3-4	3	3	2	0	14
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	33	2-8	0-4	8-9	1	0	3	0	12
Davion Sykes	G	20	3-5	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	0	8
Antwaun Massey	F	15	3-5	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	8
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	20	1-5	1-4	4-6	4	2	0	0	7
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	19	0-2	0-0	4-4	1	0	1	0	4
Rolyns Aligbe	F	15	1-4	0-0	0-2	3	1	1	1	2
Jorge Moreno	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
Drew Steffe	G	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.0Possessions78.0

115.4Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency115.4

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

64.5%Effective FG%44.4%

65.0%True Shooting %51.5%

21.7%Turnover Rate11.6%

54.5%Free Throw Rate53.2%

36.4%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Charleston won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 78.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.