Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Missouri State

66.5%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -199

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 75

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScoreButler 80

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricButler

51.1MMH Power Index52.7

110.5Offensive Efficiency111.7

108.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

2.1Net Efficiency2.6

0.5Strength of Schedule3.1

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

67.9Tempo71.1

51.8%Effective FG%51.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

42.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.4Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–51.1), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.5), net efficiency (2.6–2.1), strength of schedule (3.1–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.4–109.1), recent form (-2.1–-8.5), shooting efficiency (51.8–51.2).

Final

Missouri State

65—72

Butler

Butler by 7 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATButler

25-67FG21-47

37.0%FG%45.0%

9-283PT9-20

32.0%3PT%45.0%

6-10FT21-28

60.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds37

16Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists12

13Turnovers19

13Steals6

2Blocks6

28Fouls14

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dez White	G	35	6-18	4-13	5-5	4	5	1	0	21
Zaxton King	G	29	4-11	3-9	1-2	0	5	1	0	12
Jalen Hampton	G	26	5-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	10
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	26	4-7	0-0	0-1	6	0	5	0	8
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	16	3-10	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	7
Chase Martin	Guard	26	2-8	0-2	0-2	1	1	4	1	4
Wesley Oba	Forward	19	1-3	1-1	0-0	8	0	1	0	3
Vincent Brady II	G	14	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Allen Udemadu	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Samuel Murray	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	37	7-12	4-6	11-16	4	2	2	2	29
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	32	3-7	1-2	6-7	4	1	0	0	13
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	32	3-9	3-6	2-2	3	3	0	2	11
Augusto Cassiá	F	16	4-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Andre Screen	Center	22	2-5	0-1	1-1	8	0	0	1	5
Kolby King	G	27	2-9	0-3	0-0	6	3	3	0	4
Landon Moore	G	26	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	2	1	0	1
Boden Kapke	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Haywood	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

96.2Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency96.2

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

44.0%Effective FG%54.3%

45.3%True Shooting %59.7%

18.9%Turnover Rate28.7%

14.9%Free Throw Rate59.6%

41.8%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Butler won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.