Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Toledo

49.6%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -102

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreTroy 80

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricTroy

58.8MMH Power Index54.1

116.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.9

6.4Net Efficiency8.7

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.2

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

69.8Tempo70.4

55.1%Effective FG%52.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

30.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

4.5Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.1), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-2.2), recent form (10.2–2.0).

Troy COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.9–109.6), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), offensive rebounding (35.3–30.4).

Final

Toledo

74—84

Troy

Troy by 10 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATTroy

28-69FG35-67

41.0%FG%52.0%

3-173PT7-23

18.0%3PT%30.0%

15-17FT7-13

88.0%FT%54.0%

35Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists16

11Turnovers12

6Steals9

3Blocks5

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Simmons	F	29	6-13	0-0	7-7	8	2	0	0	19
Sonny Wilson	G	33	7-14	1-3	2-3	5	5	1	0	17
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	21	4-8	1-2	5-5	5	1	2	2	14
Sam Lewis	G	32	6-15	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Isaiah Adams	Guard	34	4-11	1-5	0-0	7	2	1	0	9
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Seth Hubbard	G	13	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	2	2	0	1
Grgur Brcic	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Bryce Ford	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tyler Ode	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Rigsby	G	30	5-7	0-1	2-5	6	1	2	2	12
Tayton Conerway	G	30	5-11	1-3	1-3	3	6	2	1	12
Theo Seng	F	21	4-9	2-6	0-0	4	3	1	0	10
Randarius Jones	C	14	4-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	10
Jackson Fields	F	13	5-6	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Thomas Dowd	F	18	3-8	2-5	1-1	5	0	2	1	9
Victor Valdes	F	22	4-7	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	8
Jerrell Bellamy	C	12	3-6	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	24	2-7	2-5	0-0	5	2	1	0	6
Cooper Campbell	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

99.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency99.1

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

42.8%Effective FG%57.5%

48.0%True Shooting %57.4%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

24.6%Free Throw Rate19.4%

24.6%3-Point Rate34.3%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Troy won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.