Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.1%Northern Illinois

93.9%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -17.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -1539

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 70

Projected Total156.8

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 87

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricGeorgia Southern

29.2MMH Power Index49.1

99.7Offensive Efficiency112.3

111.6Defensive Efficiency110.6

-11.9Net Efficiency1.7

-2.1Strength of Schedule-2.2

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

69.7Tempo72.0

48.5%Effective FG%52.1%

21.3%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-8.3Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia Southern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–29.2), offensive efficiency (112.3–99.7), defensive efficiency (110.6–111.6), net efficiency (1.7–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-2.2), offensive rebounding (31.7–28.6), free throw rate (39.6–39.5).

Final

Northern Illinois

65—80

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern by 15 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

22-58FG31-64

38.0%FG%48.0%

8-303PT12-27

27.0%3PT%44.0%

13-17FT6-12

76.0%FT%50.0%

39Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists17

19Turnovers15

9Steals14

5Blocks2

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James Dent Jr.	G	31	8-11	5-8	3-3	4	1	1	1	24
Ethan Butler	F	31	5-10	0-3	0-0	6	0	4	1	10
Quentin Jones	G	28	2-7	2-6	2-4	4	3	0	3	8
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	25	2-8	1-6	2-2	6	2	2	0	7
Kailon Nicholls	G	24	2-6	0-2	2-4	1	3	0	0	6
Terry Copeland Jr.	Forward	18	2-5	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	0	6
Dominic Gooden	Guard	20	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	1	2	0	2
Nas Muhammad	G	12	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Quaran McPherson	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adante' Holiman	G	25	7-10	5-7	0-1	2	2	1	1	19
Bradley Douglas	G	26	6-12	1-5	4-6	3	2	3	0	17
Tyson Brown	F	25	5-9	0-0	1-1	6	1	2	1	11
Eugene Brown III	Forward	28	4-9	2-5	0-1	2	0	1	0	10
Eren Banks	G	29	3-5	1-2	1-3	6	1	1	0	8
Nate Brafford	F	20	3-5	2-4	0-0	8	1	2	0	8
Dontae Horne	G	22	2-10	1-3	0-0	3	5	2	0	5
Micah Smith	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0	2
Nakavieon White	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Collin Kuhl	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

87.4Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency87.4

-20.2Net Efficiency20.2

44.8%Effective FG%57.8%

49.2%True Shooting %57.4%

25.6%Turnover Rate20.1%

29.3%Free Throw Rate18.8%

51.7%3-Point Rate42.2%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Georgia Southern won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.