Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Buffalo

55.7%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOld Dominion -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEOld Dominion -126

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 78

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 79

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricOld Dominion

49.7MMH Power Index47.2

114.9Offensive Efficiency107.4

112.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

2.7Net Efficiency-2.4

0.0Strength of Schedule-0.1

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

67.9Tempo70.9

56.1%Effective FG%50.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

40.4%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.8Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–47.2), offensive efficiency (114.9–107.4), net efficiency (2.7–-2.4), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.1).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.8–112.2), recent form (4.1–-5.9), ball security (15.4–16.1).

Final

Buffalo

83—82

Old Dominion

Buffalo by 1 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATOld Dominion

32-57FG33-77

56.0%FG%43.0%

10-223PT12-30

45.0%3PT%40.0%

9-17FT4-8

53.0%FT%50.0%

29Rebounds46

5Offensive Rebounds22

17Assists15

13Turnovers15

9Steals9

6Blocks4

10Fouls13

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Dunn	G	37	10-14	2-3	2-4	6	11	0	1	24
Bryson Wilson	G	29	7-11	1-2	0-0	4	2	2	0	15
Ben Michaels	F	27	5-7	1-2	2-5	4	0	3	2	13
Ryan Sabol	G	33	3-8	2-6	3-3	4	2	1	0	11
Noah Batchelor	G	38	3-8	3-7	1-3	6	2	1	1	10
Tim Oboh	C	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2	4
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Kavon Bradford	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Brayden Jackson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Davis Jr.	G	30	8-14	8-11	1-2	4	2	0	0	25
Stephaun Walker	F	33	6-8	0-2	2-4	13	2	1	0	14
Devin Ceaser	G	25	6-17	1-7	0-0	2	2	1	0	13
Sean Durugordon	Guard	28	5-14	2-5	0-0	8	2	1	0	12
Jaden Johnson	G	32	2-9	0-3	1-2	2	5	0	0	5
R.J. Blakney	Forward	21	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	0	3	0	5
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	20	2-6	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	4	4
Vytautas Zygas	Guard	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Dani Pounds	F	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Caden Diggs	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

113.1Offensive Efficiency111.7

111.7Defensive Efficiency113.1

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

64.9%Effective FG%50.6%

63.8%True Shooting %50.7%

17.8%Turnover Rate20.3%

29.8%Free Throw Rate10.4%

38.6%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.