Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Cal State Northridge

69.4%St. Bonaventure

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Bonaventure -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Bonaventure -227

St. Bonaventure

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 77

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreSt. Bonaventure 83

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricSt. Bonaventure

50MMH Power Index52.8

107.3Offensive Efficiency112.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency109.6

2.1Net Efficiency2.8

-0.6Strength of Schedule1.9

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

75.9Tempo67.9

51.0%Effective FG%52.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %34.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate30.8%

1.6Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Bonaventure HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Bonaventure holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.8–50.0), offensive efficiency (112.4–107.3), net efficiency (2.8–2.1), strength of schedule (1.9–-0.6).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–109.6), recent form (1.8–-0.7), free throw rate (34.7–30.8).

Final

Cal State Northridge

56—70

St. Bonaventure

St. Bonaventure by 14 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATSt. Bonaventure

20-54FG20-55

37.0%FG%36.0%

6-193PT7-32

32.0%3PT%22.0%

10-16FT23-34

63.0%FT%68.0%

35Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists10

21Turnovers18

8Steals10

1Blocks5

26Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	34	5-11	1-2	5-6	9	3	1	0	16
Scotty Washington	G	27	3-9	1-4	2-2	5	3	0	0	9
PJ Fuller II	Guard	27	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	3	1	0	8
Grady Lewis	F	19	4-5	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	0	8
Judson Martindale	Forward	20	2-6	2-4	1-2	2	0	1	0	7
Mahmoud Fofana	F	17	0-2	0-1	2-4	1	1	3	0	2
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	12	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jalen Barbee	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tyler Beard	Guard	23	0-5	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Sabien Cain	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Bonaventure

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance Moore	G	28	6-13	2-7	4-7	9	3	2	0	18
Lajae Jones	G	32	5-12	3-7	3-3	5	0	0	1	16
Dasonte Bowen	G	33	1-4	0-3	9-13	1	2	2	0	11
Melvin Council Jr.	G	33	4-12	1-7	0-0	6	0	3	1	9
Noel Brown	Center	17	2-4	0-0	4-4	5	0	0	0	8
Noah Bolanga	G	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Jonah Hinton	G	11	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	3	0	0	2
Jaxon Edwards	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Duane Thompson	Forward	8	0-2	0-2	1-3	1	0	0	0	1
Michael Folarin	F	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	3	0
Xander Wedlow	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

73.3Offensive Efficiency91.6

91.6Defensive Efficiency73.3

-18.3Net Efficiency18.3

42.6%Effective FG%42.7%

45.5%True Shooting %49.2%

27.8%Turnover Rate23.3%

29.6%Free Throw Rate61.8%

35.2%3-Point Rate58.2%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

St. Bonaventure won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.