Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.8%Saint Francis

97.2%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -23.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -3471

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 63

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreDayton 87

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricDayton

32.7MMH Power Index59.9

101.2Offensive Efficiency108.5

114.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

-13.5Net Efficiency7.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule5.7

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.6Tempo68.3

49.8%Effective FG%52.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

31.2%Free Throw Rate47.6%

-9.5Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–32.7), offensive efficiency (108.5–101.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–114.7), net efficiency (7.0–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (28.4–26.7).

Final

Saint Francis

57—87

Dayton

Dayton by 30 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATDayton

22-58FG31-68

38.0%FG%46.0%

6-213PT8-32

29.0%3PT%25.0%

7-11FT17-25

64.0%FT%68.0%

29Rebounds50

5Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists20

13Turnovers7

3Steals8

3Blocks4

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Clayville	G	24	5-14	4-8	0-0	2	2	1	0	14
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	24	4-6	1-2	1-2	7	0	0	2	10
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	21	3-5	1-2	2-3	4	0	0	0	9
Chris Moncrief	G	19	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Riley Parker	G	30	2-11	0-5	0-0	6	5	0	0	4
Victor Payne	G	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Valentino Pinedo	F	24	1-5	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	1	2
Aidan Harris	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Daemar Kelly	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Miles Webb	F	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Ace Talbert	G	14	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
KJ Swain Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blaze Angellotti	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zachary Jones	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zed Key	Forward	23	4-4	0-0	6-8	6	0	0	3	14
Javon Bennett	G	25	5-12	3-10	0-2	2	0	1	0	13
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	25	4-8	1-3	4-4	10	2	2	1	13
Malachi Smith	G	20	5-8	1-2	0-2	2	6	3	0	11
Jacob Conner	F	17	3-7	3-6	1-1	3	0	0	0	10
Posh Alexander	Guard	26	3-8	0-2	1-1	3	5	1	0	7
Amaël L'Etang	F	16	3-5	0-0	1-2	8	3	0	0	7
Nate Santos	Forward	26	1-9	0-6	2-2	8	3	1	0	4
Hamad Mousa	G	12	1-2	0-1	2-3	0	0	0	0	4
Jaiun Simon	F	5	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Atticus Schuler	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Evan Dickey	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Makai Grant	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Will Maxwell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

80.7Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency80.7

-42.5Net Efficiency42.5

43.1%Effective FG%51.5%

45.1%True Shooting %54.5%

18.3%Turnover Rate10.0%

19.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

36.2%3-Point Rate47.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.86

Game Summary

Dayton won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.