Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.0%Northern Kentucky

74.0%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL163.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -285

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 79

Projected Total163.7

Projected ScoreFlorida State 85

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricFlorida State

53.9MMH Power Index58.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency108.5

7.8Net Efficiency3.4

-2.9Strength of Schedule5.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

72.3Tempo71.8

54.5%Effective FG%52.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.7Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.9–111.9), defensive efficiency (107.1–108.5), net efficiency (7.8–3.4), shooting efficiency (54.5–52.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.7–53.9), strength of schedule (5.7–-2.9), recent form (7.6–4.6).

Final

Northern Kentucky

62—74

Florida State

Florida State by 12 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATFlorida State

19-49FG28-63

39.0%FG%44.0%

7-283PT4-22

25.0%3PT%18.0%

17-23FT14-18

74.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists14

22Turnovers12

7Steals14

1Blocks6

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Dilling	Guard	34	5-14	2-11	6-6	3	0	0	0	18
Randall Pettus II	G	29	2-7	2-7	6-7	7	3	1	0	12
Keeyan Itejere	F	31	3-5	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	1	8
Sam Vinson	Guard	28	3-7	1-3	0-0	2	4	2	0	7
Trey Robinson	Guard	32	2-8	1-4	0-2	9	4	1	0	5
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	8	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
LJ Wells	F	24	1-1	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	0	4
Dan Gherezgher	G	13	1-4	0-1	1-2	0	1	2	0	3
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Darbyshire	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	27	8-17	1-5	0-0	4	1	4	0	17
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	25	5-9	0-2	7-7	6	0	3	2	17
Jerry Deng	F	15	3-7	3-6	0-0	4	0	2	1	9
Daquan Davis	G	22	3-8	0-5	2-2	3	3	0	2	8
Chandler Jackson	G	24	2-5	0-1	2-2	0	3	4	0	6
Justin Thomas	G	20	2-5	0-3	1-2	3	3	1	0	5
Alier Maluk	F	15	2-2	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	1	5
AJ Swinton	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Bostyn Holt	Guard	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	4	0	0	2
Christian Nitu	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Malique Ewin	F	19	0-6	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

80.7Offensive Efficiency96.4

96.4Defensive Efficiency80.7

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

45.9%Effective FG%47.6%

51.7%True Shooting %51.7%

28.6%Turnover Rate15.7%

46.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

57.1%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Florida State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.