Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.8%Central Connecticut

83.2%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -495

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 76

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricProvidence

44.4MMH Power Index54.2

111.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

107.0Defensive Efficiency113.2

4.4Net Efficiency1.8

-7.7Strength of Schedule4.0

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

66.3Tempo74.2

54.0%Effective FG%55.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.3%

2.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–44.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.4), strength of schedule (4.0–-7.7), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.0).

Central Connecticut COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.0–113.2), net efficiency (4.4–1.8), recent form (-0.5–-1.3).

Final

Central Connecticut

55—59

Providence

Providence by 4 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATProvidence

17-54FG20-53

31.0%FG%38.0%

null-83PT8-32

0.0%3PT%25.0%

21-26FT11-15

81.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds13

3Assists12

7Turnovers16

12Steals3

3Blocks3

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jones	Guard	36	8-18	0-1	5-6	2	0	3	0	21
Abdul Momoh	F	35	3-5	0-0	5-6	5	0	2	1	11
Devin Haid	G	29	2-9	0-1	5-5	8	1	1	0	9
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	29	3-7	0-0	2-2	3	1	3	0	8
Jayden Brown	Forward	22	1-9	0-4	2-4	2	0	1	1	4
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	16	0-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Darin Smith Jr.	F	19	0-3	0-2	0-1	2	0	0	1	0
James Jones	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	0
Brody Limric	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bensley Joseph	Guard	29	8-14	5-10	0-0	3	1	1	0	21
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	30	3-7	1-4	1-2	7	2	0	0	8
Jayden Pierre	G	29	1-5	1-4	4-4	3	0	1	1	7
Christ Essandoko	F	27	3-6	0-2	1-3	7	3	0	0	7
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	31	2-9	0-4	2-3	5	2	0	1	6
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	18	1-4	1-4	3-3	4	2	1	0	6
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Rich Barron	F	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Justyn Fernandez	G	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

86.9Offensive Efficiency93.2

93.2Defensive Efficiency86.9

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

31.5%Effective FG%45.3%

41.4%True Shooting %49.1%

11.0%Turnover Rate25.3%

48.1%Free Throw Rate28.3%

14.8%3-Point Rate60.4%

0.43Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Providence won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.