Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.2%Morehead State

93.8%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -19.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -1513

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 69

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreLouisville 88

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricLouisville

47.3MMH Power Index67.1

110.8Offensive Efficiency118.6

110.0Defensive Efficiency102.2

0.8Net Efficiency16.4

-4.0Strength of Schedule6.0

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.9Tempo71.0

51.3%Effective FG%56.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.1%

0.5Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–47.3), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.0), net efficiency (16.4–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.1–1.4), offensive rebounding (36.4–32.3), free throw rate (37.9–34.1).

Final

Morehead State

45—93

Louisville

Louisville by 48 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATLouisville

12-52FG32-71

23.0%FG%45.0%

3-213PT11-36

14.0%3PT%31.0%

18-27FT18-28

67.0%FT%64.0%

45Rebounds49

12Offensive Rebounds14

4Assists21

21Turnovers5

1Steals12

3Blocks6

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	25	4-9	0-1	6-8	6	0	1	1	14
Dieonte Miles	Forward	27	2-5	0-0	2-5	11	2	0	0	6
Jalen Windham	Guard	15	1-5	0-4	4-4	3	0	0	0	6
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	28	2-11	1-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	18	1-5	1-2	2-2	6	0	0	0	5
Trent Scott	Guard	23	1-4	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	0	4
Steven Clay	G	22	1-6	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
George Marshall	G	11	0-4	0-2	2-4	3	0	0	0	2
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Khouri Carvey	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jaden Webb	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasean Pryor	F	20	5-10	1-5	7-9	12	4	3	1	18
J'Vonne Hadley	G	22	4-8	3-5	4-4	3	0	0	1	15
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	26	5-7	2-4	0-2	3	3	0	0	12
Reyne Smith	Guard	23	4-10	4-9	0-0	1	1	2	0	12
James Scott	F	15	6-8	0-1	0-2	5	2	2	1	12
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	21	1-3	1-2	5-5	1	4	0	0	8
Koren Johnson	G	18	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	3	2	0	4
Noah Waterman	Forward	15	2-6	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	1	4
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	21	1-4	0-0	1-2	9	3	1	2	3
Khani Rooths	F	7	1-4	0-2	0-2	4	1	0	0	2
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Aidan McCool	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Cole Sherman	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Patrick Antonelli	Guard	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

60.3Offensive Efficiency124.7

124.7Defensive Efficiency60.3

-64.3Net Efficiency64.3

26.0%Effective FG%52.8%

34.7%True Shooting %55.2%

28.4%Turnover Rate6.6%

51.9%Free Throw Rate39.4%

40.4%3-Point Rate50.7%

0.19Assist / Turnover4.20

Game Summary

Louisville won by 48 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.