UT Martin

22-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%UT Martin

73.3%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL137.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -275

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Martin 65

Projected Total137.1

Projected ScoreIllinois State 72

Team Comparison

UT MartinMetricIllinois State

49.8MMH Power Index54.3

103.8Offensive Efficiency110.6

94.0Defensive Efficiency101.4

9.8Net Efficiency9.2

-4.8Strength of Schedule1.0

-0.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

67.2Tempo67.5

49.5%Effective FG%54.3%

21.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

37.9%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate32.0%

6.6Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Martin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Martin holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (94.0–101.4), net efficiency (9.8–9.2), recent form (-0.8–-4.4), offensive rebounding (37.9–28.3).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.3–49.8), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.8), strength of schedule (1.0–-4.8).

Final

UT Martin

67—65

Illinois State

UT Martin by 2 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT MartinTEAM STATIllinois State

26-66FG18-62

39.0%FG%29.0%

7-253PT8-41

28.0%3PT%20.0%

8-18FT21-28

44.0%FT%75.0%

50Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists13

15Turnovers12

6Steals6

3Blocks2

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

UT Martin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josue Grullon	G	27	6-15	2-6	4-5	9	1	1	0	18
Tarence Guinyard	G	25	4-11	2-5	2-6	7	3	2	0	12
Vlad Salaridze	F	26	5-17	1-6	0-0	12	2	1	1	11
Afan Trnka	G	25	5-8	1-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	11
Carlos Cortijo	Guard	31	5-10	0-2	0-3	2	2	0	2	10
Lamine Niang	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Stefano Faloppa	F	12	0-1	0-0	2-4	3	2	0	0	2
AJ Hopkins	F	24	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Matija Žužic	G	24	0-3	0-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Daugherty	F	15	5-13	5-12	0-0	4	0	0	0	15
Chase Walker	F	25	5-9	0-1	3-5	7	0	0	1	13
Ty Pence	G	29	2-5	0-2	8-9	6	3	2	0	12
Landon Wolf	G	27	3-8	2-6	2-4	4	0	0	0	10
Johnny Kinziger	G	32	1-10	1-9	6-7	3	2	1	1	9
Dalton Banks	Guard	33	1-8	0-4	2-3	7	6	3	0	4
Jordan Davis	Guard	13	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	12	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Caden Boser	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cade Norris	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cameron Barnes	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

86.6Offensive Efficiency84.0

84.0Defensive Efficiency86.6

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

44.7%Effective FG%35.5%

44.9%True Shooting %43.2%

19.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.3%Free Throw Rate45.2%

37.9%3-Point Rate66.1%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

UT Martin won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.