Eastern Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Eastern Michigan

76.5%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -326

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 68

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreTexas State 77

Team Comparison

Eastern MichiganMetricTexas State

43.4MMH Power Index49.4

102.4Offensive Efficiency107.7

106.6Defensive Efficiency103.4

-4.2Net Efficiency4.3

1.4Strength of Schedule-4.7

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

69.0Tempo68.6

49.9%Effective FG%51.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

30.3%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-2.8Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–43.4), offensive efficiency (107.7–102.4), defensive efficiency (103.4–106.6), net efficiency (4.3–-4.2).

Eastern Michigan COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.4–-4.7), ball security (17.3–18.4).

Final

Eastern Michigan

44—64

Texas State

Texas State by 20 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern MichiganTEAM STATTexas State

17-58FG20-48

29.0%FG%42.0%

5-243PT7-15

21.0%3PT%47.0%

5-15FT17-21

33.0%FT%81.0%

35Rebounds43

14Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists13

14Turnovers14

7Steals8

—Blocks4

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Christian Henry	G	35	6-14	3-7	2-5	2	2	3	17
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	28	4-10	0-3	0-1	7	0	0	8
Jalen Terry	Guard	31	3-12	1-7	0-0	7	5	1	7
Julian Lewis	G	12	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	5
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	20	1-7	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	4
Trey Pettigrew	G	15	1-2	0-0	1-4	3	0	1	3
Arne Osojnik	G	20	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	14	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0
Godslove Nwabude	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0
John Shanu II	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Dillon Tingler	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Gumbs	G	31	5-9	1-1	4-4	2	4	1	0	15
Tylan Pope	Forward	23	4-8	2-2	2-2	7	0	0	2	12
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	23	5-11	1-2	0-1	2	2	1	1	11
Dylan Dawson	Guard	24	2-6	1-5	5-5	6	1	2	0	10
Drue Drinnon	Guard	24	2-7	2-4	0-0	3	3	0	1	6
Austin Green	F	19	1-1	0-0	3-4	5	0	1	0	5
Christian Turner	Forward	23	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
Joshua O'Garro	G	22	0-3	0-1	1-2	8	2	0	0	1
Bessanty Saragba	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Nate Deer	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jaylen Jones	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

68.6Offensive Efficiency99.8

99.8Defensive Efficiency68.6

-31.2Net Efficiency31.2

33.6%Effective FG%49.0%

33.8%True Shooting %55.2%

21.5%Turnover Rate22.2%

25.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

41.4%3-Point Rate31.3%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Texas State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.