Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Central Michigan

79.1%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -378

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 69

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 79

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricSouth Alabama

44MMH Power Index51.4

105.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.9

-5.1Net Efficiency6.4

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.7

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.3Tempo67.4

52.6%Effective FG%53.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate12.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

32.9%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-3.5Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–105.9), defensive efficiency (103.9–111.0), net efficiency (6.4–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.6–24.9).

Final

Central Michigan

74—70

South Alabama

Central Michigan by 4 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATSouth Alabama

26-52FG25-53

50.0%FG%47.0%

9-313PT9-28

29.0%3PT%32.0%

13-17FT11-16

76.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists15

17Turnovers15

11Steals5

1Blocks1

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	30	4-8	3-6	5-5	1	1	1	0	16
Jakobi Heady	G	38	5-12	3-9	1-2	8	1	1	0	14
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	34	5-11	1-6	1-1	3	6	6	0	12
Cayden Vasko	G	31	4-8	2-6	0-0	3	5	3	0	10
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	24	3-3	0-0	4-7	4	1	0	1	10
Bryan Ndjonga	F	26	2-6	0-3	2-2	7	1	0	0	6
Hunter Harding	C	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Shaedon Simpson	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Mohammad Habhab	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Corey	G	38	6-12	1-5	7-11	0	11	0	0	20
Judah Brown	Forward	23	5-8	5-8	0-0	2	0	1	1	15
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	35	5-14	1-7	3-3	3	1	0	0	14
John Broom	G	28	4-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	8
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	29	3-6	1-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	7
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	19	2-4	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Randy Brady	F	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Julian Margrave	F	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cantia Rahming	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
JJ Wheat	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

109.0Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.0

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

58.7%Effective FG%55.7%

61.6%True Shooting %57.8%

25.0%Turnover Rate22.2%

32.7%Free Throw Rate30.2%

59.6%3-Point Rate52.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.