Akron

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.7%Akron

40.3%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAkron -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL165.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAkron -148

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAkron 84

Projected Total165.7

Projected ScoreArkansas State 82

Team Comparison

AkronMetricArkansas State

65.8MMH Power Index57.7

122.7Offensive Efficiency113.1

103.3Defensive Efficiency105.3

19.4Net Efficiency7.8

-2.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.6Tempo73.3

58.6%Effective FG%52.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate19.4%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

28.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

13.9Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Akron HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAkron holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–57.7), offensive efficiency (122.7–113.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–105.3), net efficiency (19.4–7.8).

Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-2.8), offensive rebounding (38.1–33.8), free throw rate (39.6–28.9).

Final

Akron

75—80

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 5 • 80.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AkronTEAM STATArkansas State

28-79FG34-73

35.0%FG%47.0%

10-343PT9-30

29.0%3PT%30.0%

9-13FT3-6

69.0%FT%50.0%

49Rebounds44

19Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists14

14Turnovers15

9Steals8

3Blocks9

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

Akron

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sharron Young	G	22	6-8	3-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	15
Josiah Harris	F	27	3-10	3-7	4-7	8	2	1	2	13
Nate Johnson	G	31	4-15	1-4	2-2	2	2	3	0	11
Shammah Scott	G	28	4-10	0-3	0-0	5	2	1	1	8
Tavari Johnson	G	23	2-12	1-5	2-2	1	3	0	0	7
James Okonkwo	F	22	2-5	0-0	1-2	13	0	0	0	5
Seth Wilson	Guard	12	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Isaiah Gray	Guard	32	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	7	2	0	4
Amani Lyles	F	23	2-8	0-4	0-0	9	1	0	0	4
Bowen Hardman	G	5	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Pinion	G	21	5-6	4-5	2-2	3	0	1	1	16
Derrian Ford	G	41	7-14	1-4	0-0	7	1	2	0	15
Kobe Julien	Forward	34	6-16	1-6	1-2	5	2	0	2	14
Taryn Todd	Guard	37	4-13	1-5	0-2	7	4	0	3	9
Justin Johnson	G	9	4-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	9
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	28	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	5	2	0	7
Josh Hill	F	8	3-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Rashaud Marshall	F	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	11	0	1	2	4
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	0
Avery Felts	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.1Possessions80.1

93.6Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency93.6

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

41.8%Effective FG%52.7%

44.0%True Shooting %52.7%

17.5%Turnover Rate18.8%

16.5%Free Throw Rate8.2%

43.0%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 80.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.