Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.2%Lafayette

93.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -18.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -1513

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 64

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreVillanova 83

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricVillanova

39.6MMH Power Index59.4

102.9Offensive Efficiency114.7

110.3Defensive Efficiency105.9

-7.4Net Efficiency8.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule4.4

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

67.5Tempo67.3

49.4%Effective FG%53.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.0%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-5.0Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–39.6), offensive efficiency (114.7–102.9), defensive efficiency (105.9–110.3), net efficiency (8.8–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (33.0–31.4).

Final

Lafayette

63—75

Villanova

Villanova by 12 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATVillanova

24-59FG31-60

41.0%FG%52.0%

7-203PT4-13

35.0%3PT%31.0%

8-12FT9-11

67.0%FT%82.0%

25Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists15

12Turnovers17

8Steals9

3Blocks4

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	30	6-14	1-4	3-4	2	4	1	2	16
Devin Hines	G	25	5-11	2-4	0-1	3	0	0	1	12
Caleb Williams	G	20	2-8	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	8
Ryan Pettit	G	22	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	2	3	0	7
TJ Berger	G	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Malik Rasul	F	10	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Misha Bednostin	C	10	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	3	0	0	3
Mark Butler	G	29	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Joshua Wyche	G	18	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	2
Alex Chaikin	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Luka Savicevic	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Andrew Phillips	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-2	0	1	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	34	8-13	2-3	2-2	10	1	3	0	20
Tyler Perkins	G	36	5-13	1-4	2-2	5	3	2	1	13
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	31	5-7	1-1	2-2	1	4	2	0	13
Enoch Boakye	Forward	27	4-5	0-0	2-3	11	2	0	2	10
Josiah Moseley	F	17	5-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Jordan Longino	Guard	36	3-14	0-5	1-2	3	5	2	1	7
Nnanna Njoku	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kris Parker	G	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

92.0Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency92.0

-17.5Net Efficiency17.5

46.6%Effective FG%55.0%

48.7%True Shooting %57.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate24.6%

20.3%Free Throw Rate18.3%

33.9%3-Point Rate21.7%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Villanova won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.