Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Chicago State

70.4%Loyola Chicago

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLoyola Chicago -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL142.3

MODEL MONEYLINELoyola Chicago -238

Loyola Chicago

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 68

Projected Total142.3

Projected ScoreLoyola Chicago 74

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricLoyola Chicago

36.1MMH Power Index39.3

99.4Offensive Efficiency101.0

114.9Defensive Efficiency114.6

-15.5Net Efficiency-13.6

0.5Strength of Schedule4.3

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

66.2Tempo66.1

45.6%Effective FG%50.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate19.8%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate35.7%

-10.3Average Margin-9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Loyola Chicago HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLoyola Chicago holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.3–36.1), offensive efficiency (101.0–99.4), defensive efficiency (114.6–114.9), net efficiency (-13.6–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-4.3–-8.5), ball security (15.8–19.8).

Final

Chicago State

72—79

Loyola Chicago

Loyola Chicago by 7 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATLoyola Chicago

26-62FG26-63

42.0%FG%41.0%

8-263PT6-25

31.0%3PT%24.0%

12-20FT21-29

60.0%FT%72.0%

40Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists14

13Turnovers9

8Steals6

6Blocks5

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Spinelli	G	28	6-12	0-1	1-7	1	0	0	0	13
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	29	1-7	0-3	9-10	3	5	2	1	11
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	22	4-8	2-5	1-1	6	0	0	0	11
Quincy Allen	G	25	4-9	1-5	0-0	2	2	1	3	9
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	17	3-7	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	2	7
Noble Crawford	Forward	10	2-3	2-2	1-2	1	2	0	0	7
Matthew Robinson	Guard	25	2-3	2-2	0-0	4	1	4	0	6
Jalen Forrest	G	25	3-9	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
CJ Delancy	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Greg Spate	G	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Loyola Chicago

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Dawson	G	32	7-17	3-9	3-5	3	1	1	2	20
Des Watson	Guard	35	4-14	1-6	5-5	8	2	2	0	14
Justin Moore	G	32	5-8	1-2	3-5	2	7	0	0	14
Jalen Quinn	G	17	2-5	0-2	5-6	2	0	0	2	9
Jalen DeLoach	Forward	12	3-4	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	0	9
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	18	2-6	0-2	1-2	9	1	0	0	5
Miles Rubin	C	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	4
Sheldon Edwards Jr.	Guard	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	3
Kymany Houinsou	G	20	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

97.0Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency97.0

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

48.4%Effective FG%46.0%

50.3%True Shooting %51.4%

17.4%Turnover Rate12.2%

32.3%Free Throw Rate46.0%

41.9%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Loyola Chicago won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.