North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.0%North Dakota

86.0%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -614

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 70

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreColorado State 82

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricColorado State

43.7MMH Power Index55.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency117.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

-1.0Net Efficiency7.2

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.4

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

70.1Tempo64.7

50.1%Effective FG%58.6%

14.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

37.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-0.7Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–43.7), offensive efficiency (117.1–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.9–110.2), net efficiency (7.2–-1.0).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHball security (14.0–18.3).

Final

North Dakota

56—82

Colorado State

Colorado State by 26 • 74.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATColorado State

17-48FG35-60

35.0%FG%58.0%

5-163PT4-17

31.0%3PT%24.0%

17-23FT8-19

74.0%FT%42.0%

32Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds5

5Assists25

21Turnovers10

4Steals12

3Blocks6

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Treysen Eaglestaff	F	25	5-9	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	12
Mier Panoam	G	24	4-10	0-1	2-4	5	2	2	1	10
Amar Kuljuhovic	G	22	1-5	1-3	6-8	4	0	0	1	9
Dariyus Woodson	F	30	1-3	0-2	5-7	5	0	0	0	7
Reggie Thomas	G	23	2-6	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	1	6
Eli King	G	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Deng Mayar	F	15	1-5	1-2	2-2	4	0	1	0	5
Brian Mathews	Forward	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Mambourou Mara	F	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Zach Kraft	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Erikson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	33	9-12	2-3	0-4	14	4	1	1	20
Keshawn Williams	G	23	6-9	0-2	2-4	1	1	2	0	14
Kyle Jorgensen	F	19	4-7	0-3	1-1	7	2	1	3	9
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	10	4-6	1-2	0-1	2	2	0	1	9
Jalen Lake	Guard	26	3-7	1-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	7
Bowen Born	Guard	24	2-8	0-3	3-3	1	7	1	0	7
Kyan Evans	G	23	3-6	0-1	0-1	2	3	5	0	6
Ethan Morton	Guard	24	1-1	0-0	2-5	5	0	2	1	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Jaden Steppe	F	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Luke Murphy	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.5Possessions74.5

75.2Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency75.2

-34.9Net Efficiency34.9

40.6%Effective FG%61.7%

47.5%True Shooting %59.4%

28.0%Turnover Rate13.5%

47.9%Free Throw Rate31.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.24Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 74.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.