Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Incarnate Word

88.4%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -762

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 66

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 79

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricCalifornia Baptist

44.6MMH Power Index58.3

112.0Offensive Efficiency106.5

111.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

0.8Net Efficiency7.5

-3.6Strength of Schedule1.8

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

66.3Tempo68.2

52.2%Effective FG%48.8%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.9%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

0.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–44.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–111.2), net efficiency (7.5–0.8), strength of schedule (1.8–-3.6).

Incarnate Word COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.0–106.5), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.8), ball security (16.8–17.9).

Final

Incarnate Word

78—83

California Baptist

California Baptist by 5 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

31-61FG31-65

51.0%FG%48.0%

11-233PT5-17

48.0%3PT%29.0%

5-9FT16-23

56.0%FT%70.0%

35Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds14

6Assists15

13Turnovers5

2Steals6

4Blocks1

22Fouls12

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	35	17-26	7-12	0-0	3	0	0	0	41
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	31	7-16	3-5	3-5	3	3	1	0	20
Dylan Hayman	Forward	35	3-5	1-3	0-0	7	1	0	1	7
Jayden Williams	C	16	2-5	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	2	5
Jordan Pyke	F	23	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Josh Akpovwa	F	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	1
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	22	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Marcus Glover	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Ryan Van Eyck	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Harrison Reede	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amani Drummond	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Braun	Forward	29	7-11	0-1	3-6	5	0	0	0	17
Kendal Coleman	Forward	23	7-11	2-4	1-1	6	1	0	0	17
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	5-13	0-1	6-9	2	6	2	0	16
Sam Silverstein	G	26	3-6	1-2	2-2	5	2	2	0	9
Tylen Riley	G	24	4-9	1-4	0-0	3	3	1	1	9
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	23	2-5	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Bradey Henige	F	8	1-3	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	4
Javonte Johnson	Guard	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Martel Williams	G	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

116.2Offensive Efficiency123.7

123.7Defensive Efficiency116.2

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

59.8%Effective FG%51.5%

59.7%True Shooting %54.7%

19.3%Turnover Rate7.5%

14.8%Free Throw Rate35.4%

37.7%3-Point Rate26.2%

0.46Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.