UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%UC San Diego

77.8%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -350

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 70

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricSan Diego State

53.4MMH Power Index60.1

108.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

100.7Defensive Efficiency99.3

7.7Net Efficiency11.0

-1.3Strength of Schedule3.8

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

69.8Tempo70.8

53.1%Effective FG%53.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

5.4Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–53.4), offensive efficiency (110.3–108.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–100.7), net efficiency (11.0–7.7).

UC San Diego COUNTERS WITHrecent form (5.4–0.4), ball security (16.4–17.2).

Final

UC San Diego

58—63

San Diego State

San Diego State by 5 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATSan Diego State

20-61FG22-50

33.0%FG%44.0%

10-263PT8-22

38.0%3PT%36.0%

8-13FT11-15

62.0%FT%73.0%

32Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists13

8Turnovers14

6Steals6

1Blocks8

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler McGhie	Guard	34	8-15	5-9	0-0	5	0	1	0	21
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	32	4-10	0-1	5-6	5	2	1	1	13
Chris Howell	G	32	3-9	2-6	1-2	4	2	0	0	9
Nordin Kapic	F	29	2-9	0-2	1-3	8	2	0	0	5
Hayden Gray	Guard	36	1-8	1-3	0-0	3	4	4	0	3
Milos Vicentic	F	20	1-6	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Justin Rochelin	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Aidan Burke	G	6	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Maximo Milovich	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	31	7-12	4-8	2-2	8	3	5	4	20
Nick Boyd	G	33	4-11	2-6	1-2	3	4	0	0	11
BJ Davis	G	25	4-8	1-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	11
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	23	2-3	1-1	4-6	9	0	0	0	9
Pharaoh Compton	F	14	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	26	2-7	0-1	1-1	2	2	1	0	5
Magoon Gwath	F	23	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	3	1
Taj DeGourville	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	0
Miles Heide	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

87.6Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency87.6

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

41.0%Effective FG%52.0%

43.2%True Shooting %55.1%

12.1%Turnover Rate21.2%

21.3%Free Throw Rate30.0%

42.6%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.