Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Montana State

84.9%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -562

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 73

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreWisconsin 84

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricWisconsin

53.6MMH Power Index64.5

114.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency108.8

9.5Net Efficiency9.8

-3.7Strength of Schedule6.7

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

68.1Tempo69.9

55.1%Effective FG%54.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate32.5%

6.5Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–53.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–114.4), net efficiency (9.8–9.5), strength of schedule (6.7–-3.7).

Montana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–108.8), shooting efficiency (55.1–54.6).

Final

Montana State

67—79

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 12 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATWisconsin

24-54FG24-53

44.0%FG%45.0%

12-263PT11-22

46.0%3PT%50.0%

7-10FT20-21

70.0%FT%95.0%

27Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists15

14Turnovers11

6Steals6

6Blocks2

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Goracke	Forward	24	4-9	4-8	2-2	0	1	0	0	14
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	23	5-12	2-5	1-2	1	0	0	1	13
Jabe Mullins	Guard	35	4-9	2-6	2-2	7	4	1	2	12
Patrick McMahon	G	26	5-7	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	11
Brandon Walker	F	20	3-8	1-1	2-4	3	1	1	0	9
Tyler Patterson	Guard	26	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Jed Miller	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Chika Nduka	Forward	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	0
Bryce Zephir	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	2	0	0
Sam Lecholat	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Klesmit	Guard	36	7-15	6-11	6-6	0	1	2	0	26
John Blackwell	G	34	4-13	3-6	2-2	6	3	2	0	13
John Tonje	Guard	27	2-4	1-2	8-9	4	1	0	0	13
Kamari McGee	Guard	27	5-7	1-1	0-0	3	3	1	0	11
Steve Crowl	Forward	24	1-4	0-0	4-4	4	4	0	0	6
Nolan Winter	F	21	3-6	0-1	0-0	8	1	1	1	6
Carter Gilmore	Forward	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	1	4
Markus Ilver	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Xavier Amos	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Janicki	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

102.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency102.4

-18.3Net Efficiency18.3

55.6%Effective FG%55.7%

57.0%True Shooting %62.7%

21.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

18.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

48.1%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.