Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.3%Niagara

98.7%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -28.2

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -7592

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 56

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreMichigan State 85

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricMichigan State

35.8MMH Power Index69.8

100.8Offensive Efficiency117.0

112.4Defensive Efficiency101.5

-11.6Net Efficiency15.5

-0.8Strength of Schedule7.2

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

63.4Tempo67.3

50.9%Effective FG%54.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

27.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-7.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–35.8), offensive efficiency (117.0–100.8), defensive efficiency (101.5–112.4), net efficiency (15.5–-11.6).

Final

Niagara

60—96

Michigan State

Michigan State by 36 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATMichigan State

20-53FG35-67

38.0%FG%52.0%

9-263PT6-18

35.0%3PT%33.0%

11-18FT20-25

61.0%FT%80.0%

28Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists20

16Turnovers9

5Steals6

1Blocks1

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	29	4-10	1-6	4-5	5	1	0	0	13
Jahari Williamson	G	28	4-11	4-8	0-0	1	0	2	0	12
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	12	4-5	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	10
Josiah Davis	G	31	2-7	0-1	3-3	3	4	1	0	7
Justin Page	G	21	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Jaeden Marshall	G	13	1-4	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Will Shortt	F	10	2-3	0-0	1-6	2	0	1	0	5
Zion Russell	G	19	1-5	0-0	1-2	1	2	1	0	3
Justice Smith	Forward	25	0-4	0-3	0-0	5	4	0	0	0
James Henderson Jr.	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
AJ McBride	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Damondre McKnight	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	18	8-12	0-2	4-5	13	0	2	0	20
Jase Richardson	Guard	17	4-7	1-1	3-3	2	1	1	1	12
Frankie Fidler	Forward	18	3-7	1-2	4-5	4	1	0	0	11
Tre Holloman	G	15	4-7	2-4	1-1	2	1	1	0	11
Jaden Akins	Guard	27	5-11	0-3	0-0	6	2	0	0	10
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	22	2-5	0-1	3-3	2	8	1	0	7
Xavier Booker	F	19	3-7	1-3	0-0	5	3	0	0	7
Coen Carr	F	20	2-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	6
Szymon Zapala	Center	16	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	2	0	0	5
Carson Cooper	C	14	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	0	4
Kur Teng	G	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Gehrig Normand	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

84.7Offensive Efficiency135.6

135.6Defensive Efficiency84.7

-50.8Net Efficiency50.8

46.2%Effective FG%56.7%

48.7%True Shooting %60.9%

23.0%Turnover Rate12.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

49.1%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.69Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 36 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.