Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

93.3%Jacksonville State

6.7%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.1

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -1393

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 79

Projected Total141.1

Projected ScoreAir Force 62

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricAir Force

51.2MMH Power Index23

108.2Offensive Efficiency91.3

101.8Defensive Efficiency118.5

6.4Net Efficiency-27.2

-2.3Strength of Schedule6.2

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

67.2Tempo67.4

51.0%Effective FG%49.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate21.9%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

44.5%Free Throw Rate35.9%

4.3Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–23.0), offensive efficiency (108.2–91.3), defensive efficiency (101.8–118.5), net efficiency (6.4–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-2.3).

Final

Jacksonville State

67—73

Air Force

Air Force by 6 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATAir Force

23-54FG26-54

43.0%FG%48.0%

6-203PT12-31

30.0%3PT%39.0%

15-19FT9-16

79.0%FT%56.0%

37Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists19

14Turnovers9

3Steals5

2Blocks6

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	32	8-15	3-7	2-3	2	4	0	0	21
Koree Cotton	G	21	3-6	1-3	3-3	3	1	1	0	10
Mason Nicholson	F	23	3-3	0-0	3-3	3	0	0	1	9
Jamar Franklin	G	36	2-8	2-8	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Michael Houge	F	30	3-5	0-0	1-3	11	0	0	1	7
Jao Ituka	G	27	3-12	0-1	1-1	0	2	2	0	7
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	16	1-5	0-1	3-4	8	0	0	0	5
Iaroslav Niagu	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	39	7-14	4-10	5-6	10	6	2	1	23
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	38	6-10	4-7	2-5	5	4	1	1	18
Luke Kearney	F	29	5-10	3-8	0-0	1	2	1	0	13
Caleb Walker	F	22	4-6	1-1	1-2	4	4	0	2	10
Kyle Marshall	G	18	3-5	0-1	1-1	1	0	1	0	7
Wesley Celichowski	C	17	1-6	0-2	0-1	2	3	0	1	2
Sam Duskin	Guard	22	0-2	0-2	0-1	4	0	0	1	0
Byron Brown	Guard	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

105.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency105.0

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

48.1%Effective FG%59.3%

53.2%True Shooting %59.3%

21.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

35.2%Free Throw Rate29.6%

37.0%3-Point Rate57.4%

0.64Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Air Force won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.