Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Idaho State

68.5%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -217

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreUSC 81

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricUSC

45.9MMH Power Index48.3

111.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

113.4Defensive Efficiency107.6

-2.4Net Efficiency0.9

0.2Strength of Schedule2.5

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

67.1Tempo72.4

52.2%Effective FG%50.7%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-1.6Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–45.9), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (0.9–-2.4), strength of schedule (2.5–0.2).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–108.5), recent form (-9.6–-16.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.7).

Final

Idaho State

69—75

USC

USC by 6 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATUSC

21-45FG24-56

47.0%FG%43.0%

4-123PT5-20

33.0%3PT%25.0%

23-30FT22-34

77.0%FT%65.0%

40Rebounds25

12Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists20

17Turnovers6

—Steals6

5Blocks3

26Fouls23

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	35	6-12	1-1	9-10	2	7	1	22
Isaiah Griffin	F	34	4-10	1-5	1-2	4	0	0	10
Jake O'Neil	Guard	35	4-10	1-1	0-0	9	3	1	9
Evan Otten	F	28	2-2	0-0	3-8	12	1	2	7
Connor Hollenbeck	F	22	1-2	1-1	4-4	2	0	0	7
Jackson Greene	Forward	16	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	6
Blake Daberkow	F	12	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	4
AJ Burgin	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	2
Quentin Meza	G	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	2
Jaedyn Brown	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Cohen	Forward	30	8-12	0-1	3-4	4	3	0	2	19
Wesley Yates III	G	20	4-9	1-6	4-4	0	1	3	0	13
Saint Thomas	Forward	40	4-8	2-2	0-2	7	9	2	0	10
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	33	1-8	1-6	4-6	3	2	0	0	7
Desmond Claude	G	22	2-4	0-1	3-4	2	1	0	0	7
Clark Slajchert	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	6-7	0	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Elohim	G	15	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	5
Matt Knowling	Forward	15	1-5	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	0	3
Jalen Shelley	F	3	1-1	0-0	1-3	0	0	1	0	3
Rashaun Agee	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

103.3Offensive Efficiency112.3

112.3Defensive Efficiency103.3

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

51.1%Effective FG%47.3%

58.2%True Shooting %52.0%

26.5%Turnover Rate8.7%

66.7%Free Throw Rate60.7%

26.7%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.71Assist / Turnover3.33

Game Summary

USC won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.