Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%Cal Poly

83.5%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL163.5

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -506

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 76

Projected Total163.5

Projected ScoreCalifornia 88

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCalifornia

46.5MMH Power Index56.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-3.8Net Efficiency7.0

1.7Strength of Schedule2.8

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

76.6Tempo69.9

52.2%Effective FG%52.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-2.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–46.5), offensive efficiency (111.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (104.8–111.0), net efficiency (7.0–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.4–1.8), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.6).

Final

Cal Poly

73—91

California

California by 18 • 75.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCalifornia

22-58FG30-65

38.0%FG%46.0%

10-263PT11-26

38.0%3PT%42.0%

19-23FT20-28

83.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists12

18Turnovers10

4Steals9

2Blocks5

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Jessup	Guard	24	6-10	5-9	3-3	1	0	1	0	20
Owen Koonce	Guard	28	4-8	0-1	3-3	3	2	2	0	11
Jarred Hyder	Guard	31	2-10	2-6	2-2	4	2	0	0	8
Peter Bandelj	G	14	1-3	0-2	6-8	1	0	0	0	8
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	14	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Luka Tarlac	G	12	1-5	0-0	3-4	3	2	0	0	5
Mac Riniker	Guard	22	2-7	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	2	4
Kieran Elliott	G	20	1-4	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	0	4
Ethan Menzies	Forward	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	3
Logan McLaughlin	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Paul Bizimana	Forward	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Guzman Vasilic	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	32	6-13	4-7	2-2	3	2	3	0	18
Andrej Stojakovic	G	30	5-17	2-9	3-5	6	1	0	2	15
Rytis Petraitis	F	20	3-4	1-1	6-8	6	1	3	0	13
BJ Omot	F	20	3-8	2-4	2-3	0	0	1	0	10
Lee Dort	F	18	4-5	0-0	0-0	11	2	0	0	8
Christian Tucker	Guard	17	2-3	2-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	8
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	10	3-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	8	2-3	0-0	2-3	0	0	1	0	6
DeJuan Campbell	G	24	2-6	0-0	0-1	4	3	0	0	4
Mady Sissoko	Center	21	0-0	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	3	3

Advanced Game Stats

75.6Possessions75.6

96.6Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency96.6

-23.8Net Efficiency23.8

46.6%Effective FG%54.6%

53.0%True Shooting %58.1%

23.4%Turnover Rate13.5%

39.7%Free Throw Rate43.1%

44.8%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

California won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 75.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.