UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.0%UC Davis

74.0%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -285

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 73

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreIdaho 81

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricIdaho

48.4MMH Power Index53.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency111.6

103.7Defensive Efficiency104.3

3.5Net Efficiency7.3

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

72.4Tempo69.7

52.3%Effective FG%52.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate34.6%

2.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–48.4), offensive efficiency (111.6–107.2), net efficiency (7.3–3.5), recent form (4.5–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–104.3), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.4), free throw rate (41.5–34.6).

Final

UC Davis

79—75

Idaho

UC Davis by 4 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATIdaho

26-61FG24-53

43.0%FG%45.0%

7-273PT12-28

26.0%3PT%43.0%

20-26FT15-25

77.0%FT%60.0%

38Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists15

12Turnovers18

8Steals6

1Blocks—

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	38	10-23	2-7	8-8	7	2	4	0	30
Pablo Tamba	F	34	7-10	0-1	3-6	5	2	2	1	17
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	32	2-7	1-4	4-6	7	2	0	0	9
Niko Rocak	F	18	2-6	0-2	4-4	9	1	1	0	8
Connor Sevilla	G	29	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Sione Lose	Guard	25	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Chappell	F	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	9	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyler Mrus	F	37	6-13	5-10	0-0	6	2	3	17
Kristian Gonzalez	G	30	4-7	4-6	4-7	8	3	0	16
Kyson Rose	Forward	16	4-7	2-4	2-2	2	1	1	12
Julius Mims	F	20	4-11	0-1	3-4	6	1	1	11
Jack Payne	G	27	2-5	0-3	4-9	4	0	0	8
Jojo Anderson	G	23	2-5	1-2	0-1	1	2	0	5
Kolton Mitchell	G	29	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	4
Isaiah Brickner	G	18	0-1	0-1	2-2	5	3	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

108.7Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency108.7

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

48.4%Effective FG%56.6%

53.9%True Shooting %57.8%

16.6%Turnover Rate24.7%

42.6%Free Throw Rate47.2%

44.3%3-Point Rate52.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.