UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.6%UMBC

20.4%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -390

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 78

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScorePenn State 69

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricPenn State

59.1MMH Power Index42.3

113.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency117.6

14.0Net Efficiency-8.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule5.3

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

65.5Tempo67.5

54.3%Effective FG%53.4%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

34.1%Free Throw Rate34.6%

9.1Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–42.3), offensive efficiency (113.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–117.6), net efficiency (14.0–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–-5.6), offensive rebounding (25.6–25.2), free throw rate (34.6–34.1).

Final

UMBC

54—103

Penn State

Penn State by 49 • 80.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATPenn State

19-65FG37-67

29.0%FG%55.0%

8-243PT10-23

33.0%3PT%43.0%

8-14FT19-29

57.0%FT%66.0%

35Rebounds50

9Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists21

17Turnovers11

10Steals12

1Blocks8

25Fouls13

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Johnson	Guard	30	4-10	2-5	3-4	0	2	3	0	13
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	30	4-14	2-5	1-2	7	6	3	0	11
Ace Valentine	G	26	3-10	1-5	1-2	5	2	1	0	8
Devan Sapp	Guard	13	2-7	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Louie Jordan	F	29	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Marlon Short	Guard	20	1-4	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	4
Daylon Dickerson	F	11	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	2	1	3
Josh Odunowo	F	16	1-6	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Ashton Reese	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Torin Bosch	Guard	7	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
JC Harris	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tim Eze	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	24	8-12	0-1	2-4	9	0	2	2	18
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	18	5-7	2-3	4-4	3	1	1	0	16
Zach Hicks	Forward	23	4-9	3-7	1-3	5	3	0	3	12
Jahvin Carter	G	14	4-5	3-3	1-2	2	3	1	0	12
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	19	4-4	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	1	10
Puff Johnson	G	23	3-7	1-3	2-2	8	2	2	0	9
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	28	2-9	0-3	3-4	4	8	2	0	7
Dominick Stewart	G	12	3-6	1-2	0-2	3	3	3	0	7
Freddie Dilione V	G	19	2-5	0-1	2-3	5	1	0	0	6
Kachi Nzeh	F	13	1-2	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	2	4
Joe Sedora	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Hudson Ward	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.8Possessions80.8

66.8Offensive Efficiency127.5

127.5Defensive Efficiency66.8

-60.6Net Efficiency60.6

35.4%Effective FG%62.7%

37.7%True Shooting %63.8%

21.3%Turnover Rate13.5%

21.5%Free Throw Rate43.3%

36.9%3-Point Rate34.3%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.91

Game Summary

Penn State won by 49 points. The game played at approximately 80.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.