Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.2%Austin Peay

56.8%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -131

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 79

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreButler 80

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricButler

54.8MMH Power Index52.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency111.7

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.1

11.9Net Efficiency2.6

-5.8Strength of Schedule3.1

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

71.0Tempo71.1

53.9%Effective FG%51.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

39.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

8.4Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.7), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.1), net efficiency (11.9–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.1–-5.8), offensive rebounding (34.4–30.3), free throw rate (42.9–39.0).

Final

Austin Peay

68—66

Butler

Austin Peay by 2 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATButler

28-62FG21-49

45.0%FG%43.0%

4-173PT7-25

24.0%3PT%28.0%

8-14FT17-19

57.0%FT%89.0%

28Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists12

8Turnovers16

9Steals5

3Blocks4

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LJ Thomas	G	36	13-27	1-4	2-2	8	3	2	0	29
Quan Lax	PG	29	3-8	1-3	2-3	3	1	1	0	9
Sai Witt	Forward	17	4-7	0-0	1-4	4	0	1	0	9
Tekao Carpenter	G	36	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
JaVar Daniel	F	16	3-6	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	2	6
Anton Brookshire	PG	24	1-4	0-2	1-2	4	1	3	0	3
Isaac Haney	Guard	18	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	1	2
Darius Dawson	Guard	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Daniel Loos	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Terrell Gaines	PG	0	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	36	8-13	5-8	2-2	8	1	0	0	23
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	37	5-15	1-7	2-2	7	2	0	0	13
Finley Bizjack	G	35	3-10	0-4	4-6	2	6	2	1	10
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	35	2-5	0-2	4-4	5	1	2	0	8
Kolby King	G	13	1-1	1-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Augusto Cassiá	F	23	1-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	4
Boden Kapke	F	8	1-2	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Andre Screen	Center	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
Landon Moore	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Evan Haywood	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

103.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency103.2

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

48.4%Effective FG%50.0%

49.5%True Shooting %56.9%

12.0%Turnover Rate24.6%

22.6%Free Throw Rate38.8%

27.4%3-Point Rate51.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.