Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Murray State

54.1%Pittsburgh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPittsburgh -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPittsburgh -118

Pittsburgh

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 77

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScorePittsburgh 78

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricPittsburgh

53.6MMH Power Index50.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency108.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.4

4.0Net Efficiency-2.0

3.5Strength of Schedule5.5

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9

72.3Tempo65.0

54.0%Effective FG%51.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate31.2%

2.9Average Margin-1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), net efficiency (4.0–-2.0), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.4).

Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.4–111.0), strength of schedule (5.5–3.5), recent form (-6.9–-9.5).

Final

Murray State

68—83

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh by 15 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATPittsburgh

24-55FG27-53

44.0%FG%51.0%

6-213PT8-19

29.0%3PT%42.0%

14-21FT21-33

67.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists9

13Turnovers9

8Steals8

2Blocks7

26Fouls17

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	34	6-14	3-9	0-1	3	3	2	0	15
Kylen Milton	Guard	32	3-8	0-3	5-9	5	4	2	0	11
Alden Applewhite	F	23	2-4	0-1	7-8	8	1	1	1	11
JaCobi Wood	Guard	33	4-13	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	24	4-7	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	1	10
AJ Ferguson	Guard	33	4-7	1-2	0-1	5	0	1	0	9
Nick Ellington	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Justin Morgan	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaland Lowe	G	31	6-15	2-4	6-6	2	3	2	1	20
Ishmael Leggett	Guard	38	6-10	1-3	6-10	7	1	2	1	19
Damian Dunn	Not Available	36	6-11	3-5	4-6	2	1	1	0	19
Cameron Corhen	F	33	6-8	0-0	1-4	10	2	2	0	13
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	21	2-4	1-3	2-3	5	0	0	0	7
Brandin Cummings	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Zack Austin	Forward	27	0-2	0-1	2-4	8	0	1	5	2
Jorge Diaz Graham	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency119.6

119.6Defensive Efficiency98.0

-21.6Net Efficiency21.6

49.1%Effective FG%58.5%

52.3%True Shooting %60.4%

18.6%Turnover Rate13.1%

38.2%Free Throw Rate62.3%

38.2%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Pittsburgh won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.