Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.6%Central Connecticut

80.4%Saint Joseph's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Joseph's -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Joseph's -410

Saint Joseph's

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 68

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 77

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricSaint Joseph's

44.4MMH Power Index52.5

111.4Offensive Efficiency106.5

107.0Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.4Net Efficiency4.3

-7.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.7

66.3Tempo68.7

54.0%Effective FG%49.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate31.1%

2.9Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY80.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Central Connecticut

73—67

Saint Joseph's

Central Connecticut by 6 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATSaint Joseph's

28-57FG25-58

49.0%FG%43.0%

8-243PT7-30

33.0%3PT%23.0%

9-14FT10-17

64.0%FT%59.0%

33Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists17

11Turnovers13

8Steals9

3Blocks—

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jones	Guard	32	3-10	1-4	6-7	5	6	1	0	13
Jayden Brown	Forward	31	5-15	3-9	0-0	1	2	0	1	13
Darin Smith Jr.	F	21	6-8	1-2	0-0	2	0	2	0	13
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	23	5-6	1-1	0-1	1	2	2	0	11
Abdul Momoh	F	34	4-5	0-0	1-4	11	1	1	2	9
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	34	2-7	1-4	2-2	5	5	1	0	7
Devin Haid	G	21	3-6	1-4	0-0	5	0	1	0	7
James Jones	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Rasheer Fleming	Forward	35	6-11	2-5	5-9	16	1	3	19
Xzayvier Brown	G	36	6-12	1-6	3-3	5	5	2	16
Derek Simpson	G	33	3-9	2-5	2-2	1	3	2	10
Dasear Haskins	G	12	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	7
Justice Ajogbor	C	17	3-4	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	6
Erik Reynolds II	Guard	36	2-14	1-11	0-0	6	5	0	5
Shawn Simmons II	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-2	3	2	1	4
Anthony Finkley	F	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0
Steven Solano	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

106.0Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency106.0

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

56.1%Effective FG%49.1%

57.3%True Shooting %50.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.8%

24.6%Free Throw Rate29.3%

42.1%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.