Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Georgia State

75.8%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -313

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 74

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreMississippi State 81

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricMississippi State

38.9MMH Power Index44.6

101.3Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

-6.2Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule5.0

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

69.5Tempo72.3

45.3%Effective FG%51.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

37.4%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-4.3Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mississippi State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMississippi State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–38.9), offensive efficiency (107.4–101.3), net efficiency (-5.8–-6.2), strength of schedule (5.0–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–113.2), recent form (-10.9–-17.5), ball security (15.6–16.1).

Final

Georgia State

66—101

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 35 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATMississippi State

22-64FG42-72

34.0%FG%58.0%

5-183PT10-28

28.0%3PT%36.0%

17-25FT7-10

68.0%FT%70.0%

37Rebounds38

18Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists26

17Turnovers10

5Steals15

—Blocks8

14Fouls22

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Toneari Lane	G	30	4-13	2-8	5-6	3	1	1	15
Cesare Edwards	Center	28	6-15	1-2	0-0	6	2	1	13
Zarique Nutter	F	25	3-10	0-0	5-6	3	2	0	11
Nick McMullen	Forward	25	4-6	0-1	2-2	6	0	0	10
Malachi Brown	G	32	2-8	1-3	0-0	4	2	1	5
Jelani Hamilton	G	17	1-6	1-2	2-4	2	0	1	5
Darnell Evans	Guard	3	1-2	0-0	2-3	0	1	0	4
Clash Peters	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1
Malik Ferguson	G	13	0-3	0-2	0-2	3	1	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	25	6-11	3-6	0-0	6	6	2	0	15
Riley Kugel	G	20	6-10	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	1	14
Kanye Clary	G	18	4-4	0-0	3-3	1	6	2	0	11
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	21	4-8	2-6	0-0	0	3	0	0	10
RJ Melendez	Forward	18	4-7	2-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	10
Cameron Matthews	Forward	17	4-6	0-0	1-2	6	1	2	2	9
KeShawn Murphy	F	19	4-7	0-1	0-0	4	4	4	0	8
Mike Nwoko	F	15	4-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	2	8
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	11	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	7
Gai Chol	C	7	1-3	0-1	2-3	3	0	1	0	4
Dellquan Warren	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	4	2	1	2
Jeremy Foumena	C	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Trey Jackson III	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Harrison Alexander	G	4	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
MJ Russell	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

88.1Offensive Efficiency134.8

134.8Defensive Efficiency88.1

-46.7Net Efficiency46.7

38.3%Effective FG%65.3%

43.5%True Shooting %65.8%

22.7%Turnover Rate13.4%

39.1%Free Throw Rate13.9%

28.1%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.53Assist / Turnover2.60

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 35 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.