Santa Clara

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.9%Santa Clara

26.1%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSanta Clara -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINESanta Clara -283

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSanta Clara 83

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreArizona State 76

Team Comparison

Santa ClaraMetricArizona State

64.9MMH Power Index51

118.7Offensive Efficiency108.1

104.4Defensive Efficiency110.9

14.3Net Efficiency-2.8

4.0Strength of Schedule7.0

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

69.8Tempo70.6

54.8%Effective FG%51.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.1%

35.9%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

25.3%Free Throw Rate40.2%

10.0Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Santa Clara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSanta Clara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.9–51.0), offensive efficiency (118.7–108.1), defensive efficiency (104.4–110.9), net efficiency (14.3–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.0), free throw rate (40.2–25.3).

Final

Santa Clara

74—81

Arizona State

Arizona State by 7 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Santa ClaraTEAM STATArizona State

27-66FG24-53

41.0%FG%45.0%

10-333PT15-36

30.0%3PT%42.0%

10-16FT18-27

63.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists18

9Turnovers15

11Steals2

—Blocks5

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Santa Clara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Elijah Mahi	F	28	8-15	2-5	1-3	2	4	3	19
Carlos Stewart Jr.	Guard	32	6-13	2-6	3-4	5	2	5	17
Adama-Alpha Bal	Guard	33	4-10	3-8	1-2	1	4	0	12
Christoph Tilly	C	25	4-8	1-2	1-3	7	0	2	10
Camaron Tongue	Forward	17	1-2	0-1	4-4	5	1	0	6
Brenton Knapper	G	8	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	5
Jake Ensminger	G	26	1-3	1-2	0-0	8	3	1	3
Johnny O'Neil	Forward	11	1-9	0-5	0-0	2	0	0	2
Tyeree Bryan	G	19	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0
Bukky Oboye	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Freeman	Guard	26	4-14	3-12	6-7	3	3	0	0	17
Adam Miller	G	31	5-11	2-6	4-4	3	3	1	0	16
Amier Ali	G	13	4-6	4-5	1-4	4	0	0	0	13
Joson Sanon	G	27	4-9	2-4	1-3	2	1	0	0	11
Alston Mason	Guard	26	1-3	1-3	3-4	1	3	1	0	6
Austin Nunez	G	15	2-3	2-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Jayden Quaintance	F	32	2-3	0-1	1-3	13	4	0	4	5
Basheer Jihad	Forward	14	1-3	1-3	2-2	0	2	0	0	5
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

105.4Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency105.4

-10.0Net Efficiency10.0

48.5%Effective FG%59.4%

50.3%True Shooting %61.5%

12.7%Turnover Rate21.5%

24.2%Free Throw Rate50.9%

50.0%3-Point Rate67.9%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.