Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.8%Northwestern State

96.2%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -21.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.8

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -2532

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 62

Projected Total144.8

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 83

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricTexas Tech

41.3MMH Power Index65.8

104.0Offensive Efficiency117.8

109.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

-5.0Net Efficiency10.6

-1.6Strength of Schedule9.4

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

63.6Tempo68.1

49.5%Effective FG%56.4%

17.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

41.2%Free Throw Rate28.2%

-3.2Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–41.3), offensive efficiency (117.8–104.0), defensive efficiency (107.2–109.0), net efficiency (10.6–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–28.2).

Final

Northwestern State

65—86

Texas Tech

Texas Tech by 21 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATTexas Tech

22-59FG29-57

37.0%FG%51.0%

8-183PT6-19

44.0%3PT%32.0%

13-22FT22-29

59.0%FT%76.0%

35Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists15

12Turnovers9

5Steals7

3Blocks3

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jon Sanders II	G	24	4-11	2-3	8-8	1	1	0	0	18
Micah Thomas	G	26	4-10	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	9
Love Bettis	G	14	2-5	2-2	2-4	0	0	0	0	8
Addison Patterson	F	25	2-10	0-1	3-8	5	2	2	0	7
JT Warren	Forward	18	2-5	2-4	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	13	3-3	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	6
Chris Mubiru	G	29	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Jerald Colonel	F	19	2-3	0-0	0-1	6	1	2	2	4
Lado Laku	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Willie Williams	F	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	0
Landyn Jumawan	G	5	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	22	10-11	0-0	5-7	7	0	1	2	25
Kevin Overton	G	30	5-13	1-6	8-9	4	1	1	0	19
Chance McMillian	Guard	39	5-7	1-2	2-2	8	1	2	0	13
Kerwin Walton	Guard	35	4-9	3-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Darrion Williams	F	37	1-11	0-2	6-6	8	11	0	0	8
Devan Cambridge	F	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Federiko Federiko	F	18	2-2	0-0	1-5	4	1	3	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

95.3Offensive Efficiency126.1

126.1Defensive Efficiency95.3

-30.8Net Efficiency30.8

44.1%Effective FG%56.1%

46.8%True Shooting %60.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

37.3%Free Throw Rate50.9%

30.5%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.