Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Tennessee State

62.5%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -167

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 75

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreColorado State 78

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricColorado State

55.4MMH Power Index55.4

110.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

102.7Defensive Efficiency109.9

8.2Net Efficiency7.2

-3.1Strength of Schedule0.4

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

72.4Tempo64.7

50.9%Effective FG%58.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate41.2%

5.9Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (102.7–109.9), net efficiency (8.2–7.2), recent form (13.7–4.3), ball security (17.0–18.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.9), strength of schedule (0.4–-3.1), shooting efficiency (58.6–50.9).

Final

Tennessee State

79—87

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 81.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATColorado State

31-66FG27-63

47.0%FG%43.0%

7-223PT8-24

32.0%3PT%33.0%

10-19FT25-35

53.0%FT%71.0%

44Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists17

21Turnovers11

8Steals10

3Blocks2

31Fouls18

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Weston	Guard	37	2-6	0-3	9-12	7	1	2	0	13
Aaron Nkrumah	G	33	5-15	2-6	0-2	5	3	5	0	12
Knute Wood	Guard	31	4-6	3-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	11
Josh Ogundele	F	19	5-5	0-0	1-2	6	3	0	1	11
Ronald Jessamy	F	19	5-8	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Justus Jackson	Guard	41	4-14	1-5	0-0	5	5	0	0	9
Carlous Williams	F	27	4-7	1-3	0-1	6	1	1	1	9
Ahmir Langlais	Forward	16	2-4	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	1	4
Antoine Lorick III	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Maddux Bodenhamer	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	42	11-18	4-6	5-8	13	2	1	1	31
Jalen Lake	Guard	40	6-12	3-8	7-8	1	2	1	0	22
Kyle Jorgensen	F	23	3-6	1-2	2-3	5	2	1	0	9
Kyan Evans	G	30	2-8	0-3	4-6	3	5	2	0	8
Bowen Born	Guard	20	0-3	0-1	6-6	2	2	1	0	6
Keshawn Williams	G	13	3-9	0-3	0-1	1	0	1	0	6
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	17	1-4	0-1	1-1	8	0	1	1	3
Ethan Morton	Guard	35	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	3	1	0	2
Rashaan Mbemba	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.8Possessions81.8

96.6Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency96.6

-9.8Net Efficiency9.8

52.3%Effective FG%49.2%

52.6%True Shooting %54.6%

25.3%Turnover Rate13.6%

28.8%Free Throw Rate55.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate38.1%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 81.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.