Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.4%Little Rock

86.6%Winthrop

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWinthrop -14.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWinthrop -646

Winthrop

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 70

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreWinthrop 84

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricWinthrop

44MMH Power Index56.2

103.0Offensive Efficiency115.6

108.2Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.2Net Efficiency11.3

0.5Strength of Schedule-3.6

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.8

68.5Tempo72.4

50.3%Effective FG%51.2%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

28.6%Free Throw Rate44.4%

-3.6Average Margin8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Winthrop HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWinthrop holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.2–44.0), offensive efficiency (115.6–103.0), defensive efficiency (104.3–108.2), net efficiency (11.3–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.6).

Final

Little Rock

67—82

Winthrop

Winthrop by 15 • 78.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATWinthrop

22-64FG23-55

34.0%FG%42.0%

8-253PT9-27

32.0%3PT%33.0%

15-23FT27-42

65.0%FT%64.0%

32Rebounds52

14Offensive Rebounds21

10Assists14

20Turnovers22

16Steals14

7Blocks2

31Fouls23

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	37	8-19	5-10	6-7	8	1	2	2	27
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	28	4-12	2-7	1-2	4	0	2	0	11
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	23	4-5	0-0	3-4	3	1	4	0	11
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	29	3-7	0-2	3-4	5	2	4	3	9
Ante Beljan	F	23	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	4	0	1	4
Isaiah Lewis	G	25	1-8	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	1	3
Christian Hughes	G	11	0-2	0-0	1-3	2	1	1	0	1
Creed Williamson	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	1-3	1	0	1	0	1
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Winthrop

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
K.J. Doucet	Forward	27	4-7	3-5	6-8	7	1	2	0	17
Kasen Harrison	Not Available	29	3-4	0-1	7-8	4	4	4	0	13
Tommy Kamarad	F	13	4-6	3-4	2-5	5	0	0	0	13
Kelton Talford	Not Available	27	5-11	0-0	0-2	9	2	2	1	10
Bryce Baker	G	24	2-8	2-7	2-2	6	1	0	0	8
Ryan Jolly	Guard	16	1-4	1-3	4-4	1	1	1	0	7
Logan Duncomb	C	8	1-2	0-0	4-5	3	0	0	0	6
Paul Jones III	G	21	2-7	0-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	4
Tai Hamilton	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Nick Johnson	Not Available	15	0-4	0-3	1-2	4	2	2	1	1
Yoro Diallo	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	1-6	2	0	2	0	1
Isaiah Wilson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Henry Harrison	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Van Bibber	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cam Christy	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.5Possessions78.5

85.4Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency85.4

-19.1Net Efficiency19.1

40.6%Effective FG%50.0%

44.7%True Shooting %54.7%

24.7%Turnover Rate29.0%

35.9%Free Throw Rate76.4%

39.1%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Winthrop won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 78.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.