Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Toledo

43.8%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -128

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 81

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreMarshall 81

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricMarshall

58.8MMH Power Index52

116.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency110.3

6.4Net Efficiency4.4

2.3Strength of Schedule0.9

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.8Tempo70.7

55.1%Effective FG%55.2%

14.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate29.7%

4.5Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–52.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.3), net efficiency (6.4–4.4).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–55.1), offensive rebounding (32.1–30.4).

Final

Toledo

90—80

Marshall

Toledo by 10 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATMarshall

31-59FG29-72

53.0%FG%40.0%

4-123PT9-32

33.0%3PT%28.0%

24-32FT13-17

75.0%FT%76.0%

39Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists15

9Turnovers9

5Steals3

3Blocks5

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Lewis	G	31	5-10	1-1	6-10	4	1	1	1	17
Isaiah Adams	Guard	24	7-12	1-3	2-2	7	0	1	0	17
Javan Simmons	F	32	6-12	0-2	4-6	6	3	0	0	16
Sonny Wilson	G	31	5-7	0-0	6-6	5	2	1	0	16
Seth Hubbard	G	25	5-9	1-3	4-4	1	2	0	2	15
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	25	2-5	1-2	1-2	6	0	1	0	6
Bryce Ford	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	18	0-1	0-1	1-2	3	2	0	0	1
Tyler Ode	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Martin	Forward	32	8-13	0-0	1-2	14	0	0	2	17
Dezayne Mingo	G	32	4-8	1-4	3-4	6	6	1	1	12
Will Moore	G	14	4-8	4-8	0-0	0	1	0	1	12
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	24	3-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	20	2-6	0-2	4-6	4	3	0	0	8
Wyatt Fricks	F	14	3-5	1-2	1-1	2	0	0	1	8
Mikal Dawson	Guard	25	2-13	2-9	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Cade Gibbs	Forward	20	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Ryan Nutter	Guard	10	1-4	0-2	2-2	0	2	0	0	4
Jalen Speer	G	9	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

118.9Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency118.9

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

55.9%Effective FG%46.5%

60.6%True Shooting %50.0%

12.0%Turnover Rate11.8%

54.2%Free Throw Rate23.6%

20.3%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Toledo won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.