Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Vermont

64.0%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL137.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -178

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 67

Projected Total137.6

Projected ScoreMerrimack 71

Team Comparison

VermontMetricMerrimack

53.1MMH Power Index53.7

112.2Offensive Efficiency106.4

104.7Defensive Efficiency103.2

7.5Net Efficiency3.2

-4.4Strength of Schedule0.7

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

65.4Tempo64.4

54.1%Effective FG%49.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

32.4%Free Throw Rate39.5%

4.9Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.2–106.4), net efficiency (7.5–3.2), shooting efficiency (54.1–49.3), ball security (14.4–14.8).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.1), defensive efficiency (103.2–104.7), strength of schedule (0.7–-4.4).

Final

Vermont

51—65

Merrimack

Merrimack by 14 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATMerrimack

19-57FG24-61

33.0%FG%39.0%

8-273PT8-18

30.0%3PT%44.0%

5-6FT9-10

83.0%FT%90.0%

35Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists8

17Turnovers12

6Steals9

3Blocks3

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Long	G	32	8-20	6-15	0-0	4	0	2	0	22
TJ Hurley	G	35	4-13	2-9	1-1	3	1	2	0	11
Noah Barnett	F	16	2-3	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	1	5
Sam Alamutu	G	23	2-6	0-0	0-0	6	3	0	0	4
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	4
Sean Blake	G	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	5	0	0	2
Shy Odom	Forward	5	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	23	0-3	0-2	1-2	3	0	2	0	1
Shamir Bogues	Guard	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Seth Joba	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Clark	G	37	7-24	1-2	4-4	6	6	3	0	19
Matt Becht	Guard	32	3-7	3-7	2-2	4	1	3	0	11
Sean Trumper	Forward	25	5-11	0-0	1-2	7	0	2	0	11
Bryan Etumnu	F	24	3-4	1-2	2-2	7	0	0	0	9
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	24	3-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	3	7
Devon Savage	Guard	30	2-4	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
David Murray	Forward	17	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Tye Dorset	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

79.8Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency79.8

-21.9Net Efficiency21.9

40.4%Effective FG%45.9%

42.6%True Shooting %49.4%

26.6%Turnover Rate18.8%

10.5%Free Throw Rate16.4%

47.4%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.