Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Western Kentucky

72.7%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -266

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 72

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 80

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricGrand Canyon

55.6MMH Power Index59.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency99.1

4.4Net Efficiency10.1

1.7Strength of Schedule2.0

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

71.7Tempo69.3

48.6%Effective FG%52.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate41.0%

3.2Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.6), defensive efficiency (99.1–106.2), net efficiency (10.1–4.4), strength of schedule (2.0–1.7).

Western Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–109.2), ball security (14.5–17.6), offensive rebounding (31.8–31.2).

Final

Western Kentucky

72—74

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 2 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATGrand Canyon

28-61FG24-60

46.0%FG%40.0%

8-213PT4-17

38.0%3PT%24.0%

8-13FT22-29

62.0%FT%76.0%

37Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists10

16Turnovers12

7Steals11

2Blocks4

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	28	9-16	3-6	2-3	5	1	1	0	23
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	34	7-14	1-4	0-0	8	1	0	0	15
Khristian Lander	Guard	32	4-12	1-5	2-2	4	2	2	1	11
Babacar Faye	F	30	3-5	0-0	3-4	8	1	0	0	9
Julius Thedford	G	25	3-9	2-5	1-2	2	0	1	0	9
Enoch Kalambay	G	14	1-2	1-1	0-0	5	2	2	0	3
Jalen Jackson	Guard	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Braxton Bayless	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Edelen	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Moore	Guard	34	7-11	2-2	7-10	10	3	1	1	23
JaKobe Coles	Forward	36	7-15	0-2	2-2	11	1	1	1	16
Makaih Williams	G	29	4-8	1-3	3-4	6	2	2	1	12
Ray Harrison	Guard	38	2-11	0-2	4-5	3	3	2	0	8
Lok Wur	Forward	28	3-6	1-3	0-0	6	0	3	1	7
Caleb Shaw	G	27	1-7	0-4	5-6	0	1	0	0	7
Styles Phipps	G	6	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	2	0	1
Austin Maurer	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

94.1Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency94.1

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

52.5%Effective FG%43.3%

53.6%True Shooting %50.2%

21.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

21.3%Free Throw Rate48.3%

34.4%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.