Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%Boise State

36.9%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -171

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 75

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricSan Francisco

59.5MMH Power Index50.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency110.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency108.2

6.8Net Efficiency2.2

4.2Strength of Schedule1.4

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

68.6Tempo67.6

52.7%Effective FG%51.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.7%Free Throw Rate40.5%

4.7Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–50.1), offensive efficiency (113.9–110.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–108.2), net efficiency (6.8–2.2).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.0).

Final

Boise State

73—84

San Francisco

San Francisco by 11 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATSan Francisco

24-60FG29-55

40.0%FG%53.0%

3-163PT9-23

19.0%3PT%39.0%

22-29FT17-19

76.0%FT%89.0%

30Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists14

7Turnovers11

7Steals4

1Blocks5

16Fouls24

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	38	8-15	1-5	8-10	7	1	1	1	25
Andrew Meadow	F	30	2-8	1-4	7-10	9	1	3	0	12
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	31	3-11	0-3	5-6	3	5	1	0	11
Javan Buchanan	F	27	5-7	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	10
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	20	3-8	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Dylan Anderson	C	13	2-5	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	4
RJ Keene II	G	21	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Julian Bowie	G	7	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	23	8-13	0-4	6-7	4	2	0	0	22
Marcus Williams	Guard	28	6-12	4-5	4-4	5	6	0	0	20
Ndewedo Newbury	F	37	5-8	2-3	2-2	10	3	1	1	14
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	32	3-8	2-6	2-2	3	2	1	3	10
Tyrone Riley IV	G	29	5-9	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	1	10
Jason Rivera-Torres	F	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Ryan Beasley	G	24	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	2	0	2
Saba Gigiberia	C	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Robby Beasley	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
James O'Donnell	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

106.7Offensive Efficiency122.8

122.8Defensive Efficiency106.7

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

42.5%Effective FG%60.9%

49.5%True Shooting %65.6%

10.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

48.3%Free Throw Rate34.5%

26.7%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.