Harvard

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Harvard

50.5%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -102

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHarvard 70

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreAmerican University 71

Team Comparison

HarvardMetricAmerican University

52.6MMH Power Index48.2

108.1Offensive Efficiency110.6

102.9Defensive Efficiency105.8

5.2Net Efficiency4.8

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.3

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

64.8Tempo67.5

53.4%Effective FG%52.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

27.9%Free Throw Rate30.1%

3.4Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Harvard HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHarvard holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.6–48.2), defensive efficiency (102.9–105.8), net efficiency (5.2–4.8), strength of schedule (-0.1–-4.3).

American University COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.1), ball security (15.7–17.2), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.3).

Final

Harvard

55—67

American University

American University by 12 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HarvardTEAM STATAmerican University

20-52FG22-50

38.0%FG%44.0%

5-213PT9-24

24.0%3PT%38.0%

10-15FT14-17

67.0%FT%82.0%

32Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists13

11Turnovers11

5Steals6

2Blocks3

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Hinton	G	33	7-15	1-1	4-7	6	0	0	0	19
Evan Nelson	G	29	6-10	2-4	1-1	0	2	1	0	15
Chandler Pigge	G	32	5-7	1-1	0-0	9	4	2	0	11
Thomas Batties III	F	32	2-7	1-4	1-3	3	1	0	1	6
Tey Barbour	G	24	0-4	0-4	4-4	5	0	0	0	4
Ben Eisendrath	G	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	3	2	1	0
Xavier Nesbitt	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luca Ace-Nasteski	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dutch Dowdell	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Leo Byrne	Forward	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smalls	Guard	28	5-7	2-2	4-4	5	3	1	0	16
Geoff Sprouse	G	30	5-8	4-7	1-2	2	1	1	0	15
Greg Jones	F	30	3-6	2-4	3-4	4	0	1	0	11
Elijah Stephens	Guard	24	3-11	0-1	4-4	2	5	0	0	10
Matt Rogers	Forward	28	3-8	0-4	0-0	7	0	1	1	6
Matt Mayock	F	21	1-5	1-4	2-2	1	2	1	1	5
Lincoln Ball	Guard	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	2
Eric Michaels	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	2
Wyatt Nausadis	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Julen Iturbe	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

86.5Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency86.5

-18.9Net Efficiency18.9

43.3%Effective FG%53.0%

46.5%True Shooting %57.7%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.8%Free Throw Rate34.0%

40.4%3-Point Rate48.0%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

American University won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.