Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Alabama State

91.0%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -1011

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 71

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreLSU 87

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricLSU

38MMH Power Index54.2

101.7Offensive Efficiency115.5

107.4Defensive Efficiency111.3

-5.7Net Efficiency4.2

-6.2Strength of Schedule4.5

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

71.9Tempo70.5

48.2%Effective FG%53.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-4.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–38.0), offensive efficiency (115.5–101.7), net efficiency (4.2–-5.7), strength of schedule (4.5–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–111.3), recent form (0.0–-12.8).

Final

Alabama State

61—74

LSU

LSU by 13 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATLSU

20-60FG21-47

33.0%FG%45.0%

1-203PT7-20

5.0%3PT%35.0%

20-26FT25-34

77.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists14

15Turnovers15

10Steals7

2Blocks6

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	36	6-14	1-1	8-9	7	1	2	2	21
Amarr Knox	G	30	8-19	0-5	4-6	2	2	2	0	20
CJ Hines	G	33	4-13	0-6	5-5	1	1	2	0	13
Micah Octave	G	33	1-5	0-2	1-2	8	1	2	0	3
Mario Andrews	C	22	1-2	0-0	0-1	10	0	2	0	2
Micah Simpson	G	19	0-6	0-5	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Ubong Okon	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
JaSteven Walker	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	0
D'Ante Bass	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tyler Mack	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Carter	Guard	29	5-11	4-5	7-7	3	1	1	1	21
Jordan Sears	Guard	30	4-9	1-5	9-11	3	5	2	1	18
Dji Bailey	Guard	36	4-6	0-1	7-10	7	4	1	0	15
Jalen Reed	F	24	2-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	0	6
Mike Williams	G	10	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Daimion Collins	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	4
Derek Fountain	Forward	23	1-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	1	0	2
Robert Miller III	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	2	2
Curtis Givens III	G	11	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Vyctorius Miller	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

84.4Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency84.4

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

34.2%Effective FG%52.1%

42.2%True Shooting %58.6%

20.7%Turnover Rate20.8%

43.3%Free Throw Rate72.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.40Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

LSU won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.