Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Buffalo

62.5%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNotre Dame -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINENotre Dame -167

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 76

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 79

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricNotre Dame

49.7MMH Power Index49.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

112.2Defensive Efficiency111.2

2.7Net Efficiency-0.9

0.0Strength of Schedule4.7

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

67.9Tempo68.0

56.1%Effective FG%53.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

40.4%Free Throw Rate34.7%

1.8Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.9–110.3), net efficiency (2.7–-0.9), recent form (-5.9–-11.6), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.0).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.2–112.2), strength of schedule (4.7–0.0), offensive rebounding (31.4–27.6).

Final

Buffalo

77—86

Notre Dame

Notre Dame by 9 • 77.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATNotre Dame

30-70FG30-59

43.0%FG%51.0%

11-343PT5-20

32.0%3PT%25.0%

6-11FT21-27

55.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists16

11Turnovers10

6Steals6

3Blocks5

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	38	6-13	4-10	2-3	1	3	1	0	18
Bryson Wilson	G	32	6-12	0-4	3-5	13	1	0	0	15
Ben Michaels	F	32	5-9	4-7	0-0	6	1	2	1	14
Frederiks Meinarts	Center	11	4-7	2-3	0-1	3	2	1	0	10
Tyson Dunn	G	39	4-17	0-8	1-2	7	9	1	2	9
Tim Oboh	C	11	3-9	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	30	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Brayden Jackson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kavon Bradford	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tae Davis	F	26	7-13	1-3	12-13	6	1	2	0	27
Markus Burton	G	35	8-21	1-7	2-4	9	8	3	0	19
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	34	7-13	2-6	3-3	3	1	0	1	19
Kebba Njie	F	22	5-7	0-1	2-4	5	0	1	1	12
J.R. Konieczny	F	18	3-3	1-1	1-1	6	0	0	1	8
Matt Allocco	Guard	32	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	0	1
Logan Imes	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Sir Mohammed	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Nikita Konstantynovskyi	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Julian Roper II	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.5Possessions77.5

99.4Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency99.4

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

50.7%Effective FG%55.1%

51.2%True Shooting %59.9%

14.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

15.7%Free Throw Rate45.8%

48.6%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Notre Dame won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 77.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.