North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.2%North Dakota State

7.8%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -1182

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 86

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 70

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

59MMH Power Index32.2

115.4Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency112.6

14.6Net Efficiency-12.4

-4.6Strength of Schedule-1.7

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

69.6Tempo73.0

54.5%Effective FG%46.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate18.6%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate43.8%

10.1Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–32.2), offensive efficiency (115.4–100.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–112.6), net efficiency (14.6–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.6), free throw rate (43.8–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

81—86

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 5 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

26-50FG34-59

52.0%FG%58.0%

9-263PT6-18

35.0%3PT%33.0%

20-25FT12-18

80.0%FT%67.0%

25Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists5

9Turnovers6

3Steals5

1Blocks1

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	32	6-13	1-6	9-9	4	1	0	0	22
Noah Feddersen	F	36	6-7	2-2	2-6	6	2	1	1	16
Tajavis Miller	G	21	4-8	2-4	4-4	2	2	0	0	14
Jacksen Moni	Forward	23	2-3	1-2	5-6	4	5	1	0	10
Masen Miller	Guard	33	3-8	2-7	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Andy Stefonowicz	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Jeremiah Burke	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Brennan Watkins	G	28	1-6	0-3	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Darik Dissette	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Kasubke	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	27	10-15	0-2	5-6	1	2	0	0	25
Corey Stephenson	G	22	9-12	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	18
CJ Hardy	G	19	4-6	1-1	6-9	3	2	0	0	15
Marvin McGhee IV	G	15	4-6	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Marvin McGhee III	G	38	3-12	3-10	0-0	7	0	1	0	9
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	28	3-5	0-0	0-2	9	0	3	0	6
Jaden Alexander	G	19	1-3	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Tom Mark	F	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Shakir Odunewu	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gloire Goma	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kadar Waller	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

127.0Offensive Efficiency134.8

134.8Defensive Efficiency127.0

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

61.0%Effective FG%62.7%

65.5%True Shooting %63.7%

14.1%Turnover Rate9.4%

50.0%Free Throw Rate30.5%

52.0%3-Point Rate30.5%

1.67Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.